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相关论文: Deep Learning-Based Electricity Price Forecast for…

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Electricity price forecasting is an essential task in all the deregulated markets of the world. The accurate prediction of the day-ahead electricity prices is an active research field and available data from various markets can be used as…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-18 Salih Gunduz , Umut Ugurlu , Ilkay Oksuz

While deep learning gradually penetrates operational planning, its inherent prediction errors may significantly affect electricity prices. This letter examines how prediction errors propagate into electricity prices, revealing notable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Ferdinando Fioretto

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a critical role in power system operation and market decision making. While existing review studies have provided valuable insights into forecasting horizons, market mechanisms, and evaluation…

We consider the problem of optimal bidding for virtual trading in two-settlement electricity markets. A virtual trader aims to arbitrage on the differences between day-ahead and real-time market prices; both prices, however, are random and…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-08-02 Sevi Baltaoglu , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Electricity is bought and sold in wholesale markets at prices that fluctuate significantly. Short-term forecasting of electricity prices is an important endeavor because it helps electric utilities control risk and because it influences…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-05-16 Elaheh Fata , Igor Kadota , Ian Schneider

With the large number of prosumers deploying distributed energy resources (DERs), integrating these prosumers into a transactive energy market (TEM) is a trend for the future smart grid. A community-based double auction market is considered…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-25 Jun Jiang , Yuanliang Li , Luyang Hou , Mohsen Ghafouri , Peng Zhang , Jun Yan , Yuhong Liu

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

In the modern power market, electricity trading is an extremely competitive industry. More accurate price forecast is crucial to help electricity producers and traders make better decisions. In this paper, a novel method of convolutional…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-17 Hsu-Yung Cheng , Ping-Huan Kuo , Yamin Shen , Chiou-Jye Huang

Energy storage resources must consider both price uncertainties and their physical operating characteristics when participating in wholesale electricity markets. This is a challenging problem as electricity prices are highly volatile, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Yousuf Baker , Ningkun Zheng , Bolun Xu

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

While the field of electricity price forecasting has benefited from plenty of contributions in the last two decades, it arguably lacks a rigorous approach to evaluating new predictive algorithms. The latter are often compared using unique,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-07 Jesus Lago , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Bart De Schutter , Rafał Weron

In a day-ahead market, energy buyers and sellers submit their bids for a particular future time, including the amount of energy they wish to buy or sell and the price they are prepared to pay or receive. However, the dynamic for forming the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-11-26 Luca Di Persio , Matteo Garbelli , Luca M. Giordano

This paper develops a machine learning-driven portfolio optimization framework for virtual bidding in electricity markets considering both risk constraint and price sensitivity. The algorithmic trading strategy is developed from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-08 Yinglun Li , Nanpeng Yu , Wei Wang

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

A study on power market price forecasting by deep learning is presented. As one of the most successful deep learning frameworks, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) neural network is utilized. The hourly prices data from the New England and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Yongli Zhu , Songtao Lu , Renchang Dai , Guangyi Liu , Zhiwei Wang

Accurate electricity price forecasting (EPF) is increasingly difficult in markets characterised by extreme volatility, frequent price spikes, and rapid structural shifts. Deep learning (DL) has been increasingly adopted in EPF due to its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Mohammed Osman Gani , Zhipeng He , Chun Ouyang , Sara Khalifa

Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel
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