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Popular statistical software provides Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for multilevel models or linear mixed models. However, it has been observed that the combination of statistical literature and software documentation has led to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-24 Sun-Joo Cho , Hao Wu , Matthew Naveiras

This paper concerns the assessment of the effects of actions from a combination of nonexperimental data and causal assumptions encoded in the form of a directed acyclic graph in which some variables are presumed to be unobserved. We provide…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Jin Tian

This paper compares three approaches to the problem of selecting among probability models to fit data (1) use of statistical criteria such as Akaike's information criterion and Schwarz's "Bayesian information criterion," (2) maximization of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-04 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

Unmeasured covariates constitute one of the important problems in causal inference. Even if there are some unmeasured covariates, some instrumental variable methods such as a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) estimator, or a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Shunichiro Orihara

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a common tool for model selection. It is frequently used in violation of regularity conditions at parameter space singularities and boundaries. The expected AIC is generally not asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-09 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

This work addresses the problem of conducting valid inference for additive and linear mixed models after model selection. One possible solution to overcome overconfident inference results after model selection is selective inference, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-22 David Rügamer , Philipp F. M. Baumann , Sonja Greven

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

Linear mixed effects models are highly flexible in handling a broad range of data types and are therefore widely used in applications. A key part in the analysis of data is model selection, which often aims to choose a parsimonious model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-12 Samuel Müller , J. L. Scealy , A. H. Welsh

We consider a model selection problem for structural equation modeling (SEM) with latent variables for diffusion processes based on high-frequency data. First, we propose the quasi-Akaike information criterion of the SEM and study the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-15 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

Boosting methods are widely used in statistical learning to deal with high-dimensional data due to their variable selection feature. However, those methods lack straightforward ways to construct estimators for the precision of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-10 Boyao Zhang , Colin Griesbach , Cora Kim , Nadia Müller-Voggel , Elisabeth Bergherr

The Bayesian and Akaike information criteria aim at finding a good balance between under- and over-fitting. They are extensively used every day by practitioners. Yet we contend they suffer from at least two afflictions: their penalty…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-20 Sylvain Sardy , Maxime van Cutsem , Sara van de Geer

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) has been used as a statistical criterion to compare the appropriateness of different dark energy candidate models underlying a particular data set. Under suitable conditions, the AIC is an indirect…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Ming Yang Jeremy Tan , Rahul Biswas

We propose a new model selection criterion for mixed effects regression models that is computable when the model is fitted with a two-step method, even when the structure and the distribution of the random effects are unknown. The criterion…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Radu V. Craiu , Thierry Duchesne

The theoretical foundation for a number of model selection criteria is established in the context of inhomogeneous point processes and under various asymptotic settings: infill, increasing domain, and combinations of these. For…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-11 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is a model selection criterion widely used in practical applications. The AIC is an estimator of the log-likelihood expected value, and measures the discrepancy between the true model and the estimated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-03 Fábio M. Bayer , Francisco Cribari-Neto

The estimation of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) is an important topic in many scientific fields. CATEs can be estimated with high accuracy if data distributed across multiple parties are centralized. However, it is difficult…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Yuji Kawamata , Ryoki Motai , Yukihiko Okada , Akira Imakura , Tetsuya Sakurai

We address the problem of distinguishing cause from effect in bivariate setting. Based on recent developments in nonlinear independent component analysis (ICA), we train nonparametrically general nonlinear causal models that allow…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Pengzhou Wu , Kenji Fukumizu

Information of interest can often only be extracted from data by model fitting. When the functional form of such a model can not be deduced from first principles, one has to make a choice between different possible models. A common approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Jens Thomas , Mathias Lipka

Typical Bayesian methods for models with latent variables (or random effects) involve directly sampling the latent variables along with the model parameters. In high-level software code for model definitions (using, e.g., BUGS, JAGS, Stan),…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-12-12 E. C. Merkle , D. Furr , S. Rabe-Hesketh

Variable clustering is important for explanatory analysis. However, only few dedicated methods for variable clustering with the Gaussian graphical model have been proposed. Even more severe, small insignificant partial correlations due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-18 Daniel Andrade , Akiko Takeda , Kenji Fukumizu