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Inferring the causal direction and causal effect between two discrete random variables X and Y from a finite sample is often a crucial problem and a challenging task. However, if we have access to observational and interventional data, it…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-16 Peter Gmeiner

This paper proposes methods of estimation and uniform inference for a general class of causal functions, such as the conditional average treatment effects and the continuous treatment effects, under multiway clustering. The causal function…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Nan Liu , Yanbo Liu , Yuya Sasaki

We consider conditional estimation in two-stage sample size adjustable designs and the following bias. More specifically, we consider a design which permits raising the sample size when interim results look rather promising, and, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-27 Per Broberg , Frank Miller

We propose the conditional predictive impact (CPI), a consistent and unbiased estimator of the association between one or several features and a given outcome, conditional on a reduced feature set. Building on the knockoff framework of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-14 David S. Watson , Marvin N. Wright

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Akaike's Bayesian information criterion (ABIC) has been widely used in geophysical inversion and beyond. However, little has been done to investigate its statistical aspects. We present an alternative derivation of the marginal distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Peiliang Xu

We test three common information criteria (IC) for selecting the order of a Hawkes process with an intensity kernel that can be expressed as a mixture of exponential terms. These processes find application in high-frequency financial data…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-04-05 J. M. Chen , A. G. Hawkes , E. Scalas , M. Trinh

Recently, there has been great interest in estimating the conditional average treatment effect using flexible machine learning methods. However, in practice, investigators often have working hypotheses about effect heterogeneity across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

The Tweedie Compound Poisson-Gamma model is routinely used for modeling non-negative continuous data with a discrete probability mass at zero. Mixed models with random effects account for the covariance structure related to the grouping…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-05 Yaodong Yang , Rui Luo , Yuanyuan Liu

Algorithms for constraint-based causal discovery select graphical causal models among a space of possible candidates (e.g., all directed acyclic graphs) by executing a sequence of conditional independence tests. These may be used to inform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Ting-Hsuan Chang , Zijian Guo , Daniel Malinsky

Existing methods in estimating the mean outcome under a given dynamic treatment regime rely on intention-to-treat analyses which estimate the effect of following a certain dynamic treatment regime regardless of compliance behavior of…

Transient recurring phenomena are ubiquitous in many scientific fields like neuroscience and meteorology. Time inhomogenous Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR) may be used to characterize peri-event system dynamics associated with such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-02 Kaidi Shao , Nikos K. Logothetis , Michel Besserve

Fixed effects models are very flexible because they do not make assumptions on the distribution of effects and can also be used if the heterogeneity component is correlated with explanatory variables. A disadvantage is the large number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-17 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-23 G. Revillon , A. Djafari , C. Enderli

Joint models for a wide class of response variables and longitudinal measurements consist on a mixed-effects model to fit longitudinal trajectories whose random effects enter as covariates in a generalized linear model for the primary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-03 Rolando De la Cruz , Cristian Meza , Ana Arribas-Gil , Raymond J. Carroll

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

In this paper, we show how mixed-integer conic optimization can be used to combine feature subset selection with holistic generalized linear models to fully automate the model selection process. Concretely, we directly optimize for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Benjamin Schwendinger , Florian Schwendinger , Laura Vana-Gür

We propose a robust variable selection procedure using a divergence based M-estimator combined with a penalty function. It produces robust estimates of the regression parameters and simultaneously selects the important explanatory…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Abhijit Mandal , Samiran Ghosh

Estimating parameters of mixture model has wide applications ranging from classification problems to estimating of complex distributions. Most of the current literature on estimating the parameters of the mixture densities are based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-23 Yuantong Li , Qi Ma , Sujit K. Ghosh
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