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In this paper, we adopt conformal prediction, a distribution-free uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework, to obtain confidence prediction intervals with coverage guarantees for Deep Operator Network (DeepONet) regression. Initially, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Christian Moya , Amirhossein Mollaali , Zecheng Zhang , Lu Lu , Guang Lin

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is the task of estimating the probability of an event conditioned on some inputs. A neural network (NN) can also be used to compute the output distribution for continuous-domain, which can be viewed as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Bing Chen , Mazharul Islam , Jisuo Gao , Lin Wang

This work introduces the network uncertainty quantification (NetUQ) method for performing uncertainty propagation in systems composed of interconnected components. The method assumes the existence of a collection of components, each of…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-02 Kevin Carlberg , Sofia Guzzetti , Mohammad Khalil , Khachik Sargsyan

We propose a framework for learning calibrated uncertainties under domain shifts, where the source (training) distribution differs from the target (test) distribution. We detect such domain shifts via a differentiable density ratio…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Haoxuan Wang , Zhiding Yu , Yisong Yue , Anima Anandkumar , Anqi Liu , Junchi Yan

We introduce a conditional pseudo-reversible normalizing flow for constructing surrogate models of a physical model polluted by additive noise to efficiently quantify forward and inverse uncertainty propagation. Existing surrogate modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Minglei Yang , Pengjun Wang , Ming Fan , Dan Lu , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental for theoretically describing numerous physical processes that are based on some input fields in spatial configurations. Understanding the physical process, in general, requires…

Domain generalization faces challenges due to the distribution shift between training and testing sets, and the presence of unseen target domains. Common solutions include domain alignment, meta-learning, data augmentation, or ensemble…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Juncheng Yang , Zuchao Li , Shuai Xie , Wei Yu , Shijun Li

We propose a numerical method for discovering unknown parameterized dynamical systems by using observational data of the state variables. Our method is built upon and extends the recent work of discovering unknown dynamical systems, in…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-03-11 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

We present a comparison of methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning algorithms in the context of a simple physical system. Three of the most common uncertainty quantification methods - Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 João Caldeira , Brian Nord

As a vital problem in classification-oriented transfer, unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) has attracted widespread attention in recent years. Previous UDA methods assume the marginal distributions of different domains are shifted while…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 You-Wei Luo , Chuan-Xian Ren

Quality-Diversity optimisation (QD) has proven to yield promising results across a broad set of applications. However, QD approaches struggle in the presence of uncertainty in the environment, as it impacts their ability to quantify the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Manon Flageat , Antoine Cully

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

This paper introduces a new framework for quantifying predictive uncertainty for both data and models that relies on projecting the data into a Gaussian reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) and transforming the data probability density…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-24 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

The solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) on complex domains often presents a significant computational challenge by requiring the generation of fitted meshes. The Diffuse Domain Method (DDM) is an alternative which reformulates…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-13 Luke Benfield , Andreas Dedner

Uncertainty quantification is a critical yet unsolved challenge for deep learning, especially for the time series imputation with irregularly sampled measurements. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel framework based on the principles…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-05 Shweta Dahale , Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved great success in a wide range of computer vision areas, but the applications to mobile devices is limited due to their high storage and computational cost. Much efforts have been devoted to compress…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-05-14 Yiming Hu , Jianquan Li , Xianlei Long , Shenhua Hu , Jiagang Zhu , Xingang Wang , Qingyi Gu

How to accurately quantify the uncertainty of stochastic dynamical responses affected by uncertain loads and structural parameters is an important issue in structural safety and reliability analysis. In this paper, the conditional…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Feng Wu , Yuelin Zhao , Li Zhu
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