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Full Bayesian posteriors are rarely analytically tractable, which is why real-world Bayesian inference heavily relies on approximate techniques. Approximations generally differ from the true posterior and require diagnostic tools to assess…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Luca Rendsburg , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig , Ulrike von Luxburg

Bayesian approaches developed to solve the optimal design of sequential experiments are mathematically elegant but computationally challenging. Recently, techniques using amortization have been proposed to make these Bayesian approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-20 Tom Blau , Edwin V. Bonilla , Iadine Chades , Amir Dezfouli

A common problem in natural sciences is the comparison of competing models in the light of observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a statistically sound framework for this comparison based on the evidence each model provides for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-23 Jan Boelts

Compared to mean regression and quantile regression, the literature on modal regression is very sparse. A unifying framework for Bayesian modal regression is proposed, based on a family of unimodal distributions indexed by the mode, along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Rai Bai

This paper introduces a stochastic plug-and-play (PnP) sampling algorithm that leverages variable splitting to efficiently sample from a posterior distribution. The algorithm based on split Gibbs sampling (SGS) draws inspiration from the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-24 Florentin Coeurdoux , Nicolas Dobigeon , Pierre Chainais

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are standard tools for inferring parameters of complex models when the likelihood function is analytically intractable. A popular approach to improving the poor acceptance rate of the basic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Imitation learning addresses the challenge of learning by observing an expert's demonstrations without access to reward signals from environments. Most existing imitation learning methods that do not require interacting with environments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Shang-Fu Chen , Hsiang-Chun Wang , Ming-Hao Hsu , Chun-Mao Lai , Shao-Hua Sun

Bayesian inference is a popular method to build learning algorithms but it is hampered by the fact that its key object, the posterior probability distribution, is often uncomputable. Expectation Propagation (EP) (Minka (2001)) is a popular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-16 Guillaume P. Dehaene

Model-based sequential approaches to discrete "black-box" optimization, including Bayesian optimization techniques, often access the same points multiple times for a given objective function in interest, resulting in many steps to find the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Keisuke Morita , Yoshihiko Nishikawa , Masayuki Ohzeki

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

In applications of Bayesian procedures, once a class of priors has been chosen, it may be tempting to fix the prior's hyperparameters from the data, in an empirical Bayes (EB) fashion, usually by their maximum marginal likelihood estimates…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Stefano Rizzelli , Judith Rousseau , Sonia Petrone

This paper provides a review of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods for carrying out Bayesian posterior inference, through the lens of density estimation. We describe several recent algorithms and make connection with traditional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Clara Grazian , Yanan Fan

In this paper, we focus on the inverse problem of reconstructing distributional brain activity with cortical and weakly detectable deep components in non-invasive Electroencephalography. In particular, we aim to generalize the previously…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-03-16 Joonas Lahtinen , Alexandra Koulouri , Atena Rezaei , Sampsa Pursiainen

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is commonly used for parameter estimation and model comparison for intractable simulator-based models whose likelihood function cannot be evaluated. In this paper we instead investigate the feasibility…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

In the context of the expected-posterior prior (EPP) approach to Bayesian variable selection in linear models, we combine ideas from power-prior and unit-information-prior methodologies to simultaneously produce a minimally-informative…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-27 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , David Draper

By formulating the inverse problem of partial differential equations (PDEs) as a statistical inference problem, the Bayesian approach provides a general framework for quantifying uncertainties. In the inverse problem of PDEs, parameters are…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-10 Haoyu Lu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

This paper deals with the estimation of rare event probabilities using importance sampling (IS), where an optimal proposal distribution is computed with the cross-entropy (CE) method. Although, IS optimized with the CE method leads to an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-05 Patrick Héas

In inverse problems, the parameters of a model are estimated based on observations of the model response. The Bayesian approach is powerful for solving such problems; one formulates a prior distribution for the parameter state that is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Max Ehre , Rafael Flock , Martin Fußeder , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub