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Diffusion models are a remarkably effective way of learning and sampling from a distribution $p(x)$. In posterior sampling, one is also given a measurement model $p(y \mid x)$ and a measurement $y$, and would like to sample from $p(x \mid…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Shivam Gupta , Ajil Jalal , Aditya Parulekar , Eric Price , Zhiyang Xun

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

A new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithm for Bayesian updating of model parameters is proposed in this paper, which combines the ABC principles with the technique of Subset Simulation for efficient rare-event simulation, first…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-25 Manuel Chiachio , James L. Beck , Juan Chiachio , Guillermo Rus

Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Joe Marion , Liz Lorenzi , Cora Allen-Savietta , Scott Berry , Kert Viele

With the routine collection of massive-dimensional predictors in many application areas, screening methods that rapidly identify a small subset of promising predictors have become commonplace. We propose a new MOdular Bayes Screening (MOBS)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-30 Yuhan Chen , David B. Dunson

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

Reinforcement learning can learn amortised design policies for designing sequences of experiments. However, current amortised methods rely on estimators of expected information gain (EIG) that require an exponential number of samples on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Tom Blau , Iadine Chades , Amir Dezfouli , Daniel Steinberg , Edwin V. Bonilla

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are increasingly used for inference in situations in which the likelihood function is either computationally costly or intractable to evaluate. Extensions of the basic ABC rejection algorithm…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-01 Umberto Simola , Jessica Cisewski-Kehe , Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

In dual decomposition, the dual to an optimization problem with a specific structure is solved in distributed fashion using (sub)gradient and recently also fast gradient methods. The traditional dual decomposition suffers from two main…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-04-08 Pontus Giselsson

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

As the amount and complexity of available data increases, the need for robust statistical learning becomes more pressing. To enhance resilience against model misspecification, the generalized posterior inference method adjusts the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Masahiro Tanaka

Combining data has become an indispensable tool for managing the current diversity and abundance of data. But, as data complexity and data volume swell, the computational demands of previously proposed models for combining data escalate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-13 Mario Figueira , David Conesa , Antonio López-Quílez , Iosu Paradinas

In this paper, we consider an online distributed composite optimization problem over a time-varying multi-agent network that consists of multiple interacting nodes, where the objective function of each node consists of two parts: a loss…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-03 Deming Yuan , Yiguang Hong , Daniel W. C. Ho , Shengyuan Xu

Meta-learning methods perform well on new within-distribution tasks but often fail when adapting to out-of-distribution target tasks, where transfer from source tasks can induce negative transfer. We propose a causally-aware Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Lotta Mäkinen , Jorge Loría , Samuel Kaski

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-25 Leo L Duan , Alexander L Young , Akihiko Nishimura , David B Dunson

Bayesian analysis plays a crucial role in estimating distribution of unknown parameters for given data and model. Due to the curse of dimensionality, it becomes difficult for high-dimensional problems, especially when multiple modes exist.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Zihan Liao , Binbin Li , Hua-Ping Wan

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian