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Through Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) studies, a number of time-series data is collected across multiple individuals, continuously monitoring various items of emotional behavior. Such complex data is commonly analyzed in an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Mandani Ntekouli , Gerasimos Spanakis , Lourens Waldorp , Anne Roefs

Earth System Models (ESM) are important tools that allow us to understand and quantify the physical, chemical & biological mechanisms governing the rates of change of elements of the Earth System, comprising of the atmosphere, ocean, land,…

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential for understanding the interaction between human activities and the Earth's climate. However, the computational demands of ESMs often limit the number of simulations that can be run, hindering the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-19 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

We develop a unified statistical framework for attributing heatwaves as spatio-temporal phenomena under climate change. We quantify the impact of anthropogenic forcing on the probability and persistence of heatwaves not captured by standard…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Kamal Gasser , Johan Segers , Francesco Ragone

Retrieval and recommendation are two essential tasks in modern search tools. This paper introduces a novel retrieval-reranking framework leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs) to enhance the spatiotemporal and semantic associated mining…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Yuanyuan Tian , Wenwen Li , Lei Hu , Xiao Chen , Michael Brook , Michael Brubaker , Fan Zhang , Anna K. Liljedahl

When extreme weather events affect large areas, their regional to sub-continental spatial scale is important for their impacts. We propose a novel machine learning (ML) framework that integrates spatial extreme-value theory to model weather…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Jonathan Koh , Daniel Steinfeld , Olivia Martius

Aim: Spatio-temporal processes play a key role in ecology, from genes to large-scale macroecological and biogeographical processes. Existing methods studying such spatio-temporally structured data either simplify the dynamic structure or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-03-14 Rūta Juozaitienė , Hanno Seebens , Guillaume Latombe , Franz Essl , Ernst C. Wit

The ETAS model is widely employed to model the spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes, generally using spatially invariant parameters. We propose an efficient method for the estimation of spatially varying parameters, using the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-06-28 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Stefan Wiemer , Didier Sornette

This research presents a three-step causal inference framework that integrates correlation analysis, machine learning-based causality discovery, and LLM-driven interpretations to identify socioeconomic factors influencing carbon emissions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Shan Shan

Spatiotemporal predictive learning (ST-PL) is a hotspot with numerous applications, such as object movement and meteorological prediction. It aims at predicting the subsequent frames via observed sequences. However, inherent uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Zenghao Chai , Zhengzhuo Xu , Yunpeng Bai , Zhihui Lin , Chun Yuan

Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide due to human activities through fossil fuel emissions and land use changes have increased climate extremes such as heat waves and droughts that have led to and are expected to increase the occurrence of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-19 Bharat Sharma , Jitendra Kumar , Auroop R. Ganguly , Forrest M. Hoffman

Extreme streamflow is a key indicator of flood risk, and quantifying the changes in its distribution under non-stationary climate conditions is key to mitigating the impact of flooding events. We propose a non-stationary process mixture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-08 Reetam Majumder , Brian Reich

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most prominent interannual climate variability in the tropics and exhibits diverse features in spatiotemporal patterns. In this paper, a simple multiscale intermediate coupled stochastic model is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-15 Nan Chen , Xianghui Fang

Although most models for rainfall extremes focus on point-wise values, it is aggregated precipitation over areas up to river catchment scale that is of the most interest. To capture the joint behaviour of precipitation aggregates evaluated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-03 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

Climate change exacerbates extreme weather events like heavy rainfall and flooding. As these events cause severe socioeconomic damage, accurate high-resolution simulation of precipitation is imperative. However, existing Earth System Models…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-02-03 Michael Aich , Philipp Hess , Baoxiang Pan , Sebastian Bathiany , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Accurate and high-resolution Earth system model (ESM) simulations are essential to assess the ecological and socio-economic impacts of anthropogenic climate change, but are computationally too expensive to be run at sufficiently high…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-02-27 Philipp Hess , Michael Aich , Baoxiang Pan , Niklas Boers

As multiple crises threaten the sustainability of our societies and pose at risk the planetary boundaries, complex challenges require timely, updated, and usable information. Natural-language processing (NLP) tools enhance and expand data…

Soil moisture (SM) is a key state variable of the hydrological cycle, needed to monitor the effects of a changing climate on natural resources. Soil moisture is highly variable in space and time, presenting seasonalities, anomalies and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-10 Diego Bueso , Maria Piles , Gustau Camps-Valls

Future projection of climate is typically obtained by combining outputs from multiple Earth System Models (ESMs) for several climate variables such as temperature and precipitation. While IPCC has traditionally used a simple model output…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-01 André R. Gonçalves , Arindam Banerjee , Fernando J. Von Zuben