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We describe a computational framework for modeling and statistical inference on high-dimensional stochastic dynamic systems. Our primary motivation is the investigation of metapopulation dynamics arising from a collection of spatially…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Kidus Asfaw , Joonha Park , Aaron A. King , Edward L. Ionides

There has been increased interest in missing sensor data imputation, which is ubiquitous in the field of structural health monitoring (SHM) due to discontinuous sensing caused by sensor malfunction. To address this fundamental issue, this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-20 Pu Ren , Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun , Hao Sun

Point process models have been used to analyze interaction event times on a social network, in the hope to provides valuable insights for social science research. However, the diagnostics and visualization of the modeling results from such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-28 Jing Wu , Anna L. Smith , Tian Zheng

Very large spatio-temporal lattice data are becoming increasingly common across a variety of disciplines. However, estimating interdependence across space and time in large areal datasets remains challenging, as existing approaches are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-07-20 Philipp Hunziker , Julian Wucherpfennig , Aya Kachi , Nils-Christian Bormann

For a sensor network, a tractable spatially-dependent node deployment model is presented with the property that the density is inversely proportional to the sink distance. A stochastic model is formulated to examine message advancements…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 H. Paul Keeler

The spatial scan statistic is widely used in epidemiology and medical studies as a tool to identify hotspots of diseases. The classical spatial scan statistic assumes the number of disease cases in different locations have independent…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-09-29 Ji Meng Loh , Zhengyuan Zhu

Many environmental processes exhibit weakening spatial dependence as events become more extreme. Well-known limiting models, such as max-stable or generalized Pareto processes, cannot capture this, which can lead to a preference for models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-06 Raphaël G. Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Surrogate models are often used to replace costly-to-evaluate complex coastal codes to achieve substantial computational savings. In many of those models, the hydrometeorological forcing conditions (inputs) or flood events (outputs) are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-04 A. F. López-Lopera , D. Idier , J. Rohmer , F. Bachoc

Ecological Momentary Assessment provides real-time data on suicidal thoughts and behaviors, but predicting suicide attempts remains challenging due to their rarity and patient heterogeneity. We show that single models fit to all patients…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Genesis Hang , Annie Chen , Hope Neveux , Matthew K. Nock , Yaniv Yacoby

Location privacy-preserving mechanisms (LPPMs) have been extensively studied for protecting users' location privacy by releasing a perturbed location to third parties such as location-based service providers. However, when a user's…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2020-05-20 Yang Cao , Yonghui Xiao , Li Xiong , Liquan Bai , Masatoshi Yoshikawa

Traffic forecasting uses recent measurements by sensors installed at chosen locations to forecast the future road traffic. Existing work either assumes all locations are equipped with sensors or focuses on short-term forecast. This paper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Zhengkun Xiao , Yupu zhang , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We provide a survey of nonstationary surrogate models which utilize Gaussian processes (GPs) or variations thereof, including nonstationary kernel adaptations, partition and local GPs, and spatial warpings through deep Gaussian processes.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-04 Annie S. Booth , Andrew Cooper , Robert B. Gramacy

Accurately predicting when and where ambulance call-outs occur can reduce response times and ensure the patient receives urgent care sooner. Here we present a novel method for ambulance demand prediction using Gaussian process regression…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-29 Seth Nabarro , Tristan Fletcher , John Shawe-Taylor

We present a novel approach to estimate the delay observed between the occurrence and reporting of rape crimes. We explore spatial, temporal and social effects in sparse aggregated (area-level) and high-dimensional disaggregated…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-11-22 Konstantin Klemmer , Daniel B. Neill , Stephen A. Jarvis

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

Central to robot exploration and mapping is the task of persistent localization in environmental fields characterized by spatially correlated measurements. This paper presents a Gaussian process localization (GP-Localize) algorithm that, in…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2014-04-23 Nuo Xu , Kian Hsiang Low , Jie Chen , Keng Kiat Lim , Etkin Baris Ozgul

Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

This paper concerns the data-driven sensor deployment problem in large spatiotemporal fields. Traditionally, sensor deployment strategies have been heavily dependent on model-based planning approaches. However, model-based approaches do not…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-04 Jiahong Chen

Empirical time series often contain observational noise. We investigate the effect of this noise on the estimated parameters of models fitted to the data. For data of physiological tremor, i.e. a small amplitude oscillation of the…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2015-06-24 J. Timmer