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As an essential task in autonomous driving (AD), motion prediction aims to predict the future states of surround objects for navigation. One natural solution is to estimate the position of other agents in a step-by-step manner where each…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-22 Xiaosong Jia , Shaoshuai Shi , Zijun Chen , Li Jiang , Wenlong Liao , Tao He , Junchi Yan

Recurrent Neural Networks architectures excel at processing sequences by modelling dependencies over different timescales. The recently introduced Recurrent Weighted Average (RWA) unit captures long term dependencies far better than an LSTM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-20 Brendan Maginnis , Pierre H. Richemond

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

The design choices in the Transformer attention mechanism, including weak inductive bias and quadratic computational complexity, have limited its application for modeling long sequences. In this paper, we introduce Mega, a simple,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Xuezhe Ma , Chunting Zhou , Xiang Kong , Junxian He , Liangke Gui , Graham Neubig , Jonathan May , Luke Zettlemoyer

Given the inevitability of domain shifts during inference in real-world applications, test-time adaptation (TTA) is essential for model adaptation after deployment. However, the real-world scenario of continuously changing target…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Junyoung Park , Jin Kim , Hyeongjun Kwon , Ilhoon Yoon , Kwanghoon Sohn

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

Attention-based architectures have become ubiquitous in time series forecasting tasks, including spatio-temporal (STF) and long-term time series forecasting (LTSF). Yet, our understanding of the reasons for their effectiveness remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-13 Suhan Guo , Jiahong Deng , Yi Wei , Hui Dou , Furao Shen , Jian Zhao

Autoregressive (AR) language models generate text one token at a time, even when consecutive tokens are highly predictable given earlier context. We introduce MARS (Mask AutoRegreSsion), a lightweight fine-tuning method that teaches an…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Ziqi Jin , Lei Wang , Ziwei Luo , Aixin Sun

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

Autoregressive models (ARMs) currently hold state-of-the-art performance in likelihood-based modeling of image and audio data. Generally, neural network based ARMs are designed to allow fast inference, but sampling from these models is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-09 Auke Wiggers , Emiel Hoogeboom

This paper presents a case study on short-term load forecasting for France, with emphasis on special days, such as public holidays. We investigate the generalisability to French data of a recently proposed approach, which generates…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Siddharth Arora , James W. Taylor

Transformers are state-of-the-art models for a variety of sequence modeling tasks. At their core is an attention function which models pairwise interactions between the inputs at every timestep. While attention is powerful, it does not…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Hao Peng , Nikolaos Pappas , Dani Yogatama , Roy Schwartz , Noah A. Smith , Lingpeng Kong

Here we propose the Reweighted Autoencoded Variational Bayes for Enhanced Sampling (RAVE) method, a new iterative scheme that uses the deep learning framework of variational autoencoders to enhance sampling in molecular simulations. RAVE…

化学物理 · 物理学 2018-02-13 Joao Marcelo Lamim Ribeiro , Pablo Bravo Collado , Yihang Wang , Pratyush Tiwary

Transformed Generalized Autoregressive Moving Average (TGARMA) models were recently proposed to deal with non-additivity, non-normality and heteroscedasticity in real time series data. In this paper, a Bayesian approach is proposed for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-02 Breno S. Andrade , Marinho G. Andrade , Ricardo S. Ehlers

As several previous works have pointed out, the evolution of the wireless channels in multiple input multiple output systems can be advantageously modeled as an autoregressive process. Therefore, estimating the coefficients, and, in…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-01 Julia Vinogradova , Gábor Fodor , Peter Hammarberg

World Action Models (WAMs) are an emerging family of policies that tie robot action generation to future-observation modeling. In this work, we focus on the joint video--action modeling paradigm, where actions and imagined future…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Wen Huang , Haoran Sun , Yongjian Guo , Yunxuan Ma , Haoran Li , Jing Long , Zhouying Mo , Zhong Guan , Yucheng Guo , Shuai Di , Junwu Xiong

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

For Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), recent deep learning applications show that univariate models frequently outperform multivariate ones. To address the difficiency in multivariate models, we introduce a method to Construct…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Hippocampal formation (HF) can rapidly adapt to varied environments and build flexible working memory (WM). To mirror the HF's mechanism on generalization and WM, we propose a model named Generalization and Associative Temporary Encoding…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-01-23 Yuechen Liu , Zishun Wang , Chen Qiao , Zongben Xu

The attention mechanism has demonstrated remarkable potential in sequence modeling, exemplified by its successful application in natural language processing with models such as Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Bowen Zhao , Huanlai Xing , Zhiwen Xiao , Jincheng Peng , Li Feng , Xinhan Wang , Rong Qu , Hui Li