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Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

We consider estimation of the extreme value index and extreme quantiles for heavy-tailed data that are right-censored. We study a general procedure of removing low importance observations in tail estimators. This trimming procedure is…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

In the paper we propose some new class of functions which is used to construct tail index estimators. Functions from this new class is non-monotone in general, but presents a product of two monotone functions: the power function and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-06 Vygantas Paulauskas , Marijus Vaičiulis

We study the finite sample behavior of Lasso-based inference methods such as post double Lasso and debiased Lasso. We show that these methods can exhibit substantial omitted variable biases (OVBs) due to Lasso not selecting relevant…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-15 Kaspar Wuthrich , Ying Zhu

This paper studies parameter estimation using L-moments, an alternative to traditional moments with attractive statistical properties. The estimation of model parameters by matching sample L-moments is known to outperform maximum likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Luis Alvarez , Chang Chiann , Pedro Morettin

Deep probabilistic forecasting is gaining attention in numerous applications ranging from weather prognosis, through electricity consumption estimation, to autonomous vehicle trajectory prediction. However, existing approaches focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-04 Jedrzej Kozerawski , Mayank Sharan , Rose Yu

Recently, deep neural networks have been found to nearly interpolate training data but still generalize well in various applications. To help understand such a phenomenon, it has been of interest to analyze the ridge estimator and its…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-03 Libin Liang , Zhiqiang Tan

Real-world visual data often exhibits a long-tailed distribution, where some ''head'' classes have a large number of samples, yet only a few samples are available for ''tail'' classes. Such imbalanced distribution causes a great challenge…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-11 Junjie Zhang , Lingqiao Liu , Peng Wang , Chunhua Shen

We consider distinguishing between two distribution tail models when tails of one model are lighter (or heavier) than those of the other. Two procedures are proposed: one scale-free and one location- and scale-free, and their asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-31 Igor Rodionov

Histogram-based empirical Bayes methods developed for analyzing data for large numbers of genes, SNPs, or other biological features tend to have large biases when applied to data with a smaller number of features such as genes with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-10 Marta Padilla , David R. Bickel

Regularized system identification has become a significant complement to more classical system identification. It has been numerically shown that kernel-based regularized estimators often perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

The subject of tail estimation for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution receives growing attention, motivated by applications for instance in actuarial statistics. The bias of the available estimators of the extreme value…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-19 Jan Beirlant , Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andrehette Verster

Estimating the left tail of quadratic forms in Gaussian random vectors is of major practical importance in many applications. In this paper, we propose an efficient and robust importance sampling estimator that is endowed with the bounded…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Chaouki Ben Issaid , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Raul Tempone

In this paper, we consider the problem of the estimation of a Weibull tail-coefficient. In particular, we propose a regression model, from which we derive a bias-reduced estimator. This estimator is based on a least-squares approach. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-01 J. Diebolt , L. Gardes , S. Girard , A. Guillou

Numerous robust estimators exist as alternatives to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when a completely observed ground-up loss severity sample dataset is available. However, the options for robust alternatives to MLE become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

Compared to nonparametric estimators in the multivariate setting, kernel estimators for functional data models have a larger order of bias. This is problematic for constructing confidence regions or statistical tests since the bias might…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-21 Melanie Birke , Tim Greger

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

This paper considers generalized least squares (GLS) estimation for linear panel data models. By estimating the large error covariance matrix consistently, the proposed feasible GLS (FGLS) estimator is more efficient than the ordinary least…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-06 Jushan Bai , Sung Hoon Choi , Yuan Liao