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相关论文: Nonlinear Causality in Time Series Networks: With …

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In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Mohammad Fesanghary , Achintya Gopal

The growing availability and importance of time series data across various domains, including environmental science, epidemiology, and economics, has led to an increasing need for time-series causal discovery methods that can identify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-03 Omar Faruque , Sahara Ali , Xue Zheng , Jianwu Wang

In a temporal network causal paths are characterized by the fact that links from a source to a target must respect the chronological order. In this article we study the causal paths structure in temporal networks of human face to face…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-02-08 Agostino Funel

Granger causality has been used for the investigation of the inter-dependence structure of the underlying systems of multi-variate time series. In particular, the direct causal effects are commonly estimated by the conditional Granger…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Nonlinear machine-learning models are increasingly used to discover causal relationships in time-series data, yet the interpretation of their outputs remains poorly understood. In particular, causal scores produced by regularized neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Valentina Kuskova , Dmitry Zaytsev , Michael Coppedge

Estimating the unknown causal dependencies among graph-connected time series plays an important role in many applications, such as sensor network analysis, signal processing over cyber-physical systems, and finance engineering. Inference of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-02 Rohan Money , Joshin Krishnan , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Inferring causal relations from time series measurements is an ill-posed mathematical problem, where typically an infinite number of potential solutions can reproduce the given data. We explore in depth a strategy to disambiguate between…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-11-04 George Stepaniants , Bingni W. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Dependence between nodes in a network is an important concept that pervades many areas including finance, politics, sociology, genomics and the brain sciences. One way to characterize dependence between components of a multivariate time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-08 Malik Shahid Sultan , Samuel Horvath , Hernando Ombao

A widely applied approach to causal inference from a non-experimental time series $X$, often referred to as "(linear) Granger causal analysis", is to regress present on past and interpret the regression matrix $\hat{B}$ causally. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-23 Philipp Geiger , Kun Zhang , Mingming Gong , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

To gain insight into complex systems it is a key challenge to infer nonlinear causal directional relations from observational time-series data. Specifically, estimating causal relationships between interacting components in large systems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 Axel Wismüller , Adora M. DSouza , Anas Z. Abidin

Causal inference provides an analytical framework to identify and quantify cause-and-effect relationships among a network of interacting agents. This paper offers a novel framework for analyzing cascading failures in power transmission…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-28 Shiuli Subhra Ghosh , Anmol Dwivedi , Ali Tajer , Kyongmin Yeo , Wesley M. Gifford

Granger causality method analyzes the time series causalities without building a complex causality graph. However, the traditional Granger causality method assumes that the causalities lie between time series channels and remain constant,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Zhiheng Zhang , Wenbo Hu , Tian Tian , Jun Zhu

We study causal discovery from a single observed sequence of discrete events generated by a stochastic process, as encountered in vehicle logs, manufacturing systems, or patient trajectories. This regime is particularly challenging due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Hugo Math , Rainer Lienhart

Causal discovery from time-series data aims to capture both intra-slice (contemporaneous) and inter-slice (time-lagged) causality between variables within the temporal chain, which is crucial for various scientific disciplines. Compared to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Rujia Shen , Boran Wang , Chao Zhao , Yi Guan , Jingchi Jiang

Granger causality is a fundamental technique for causal inference in time series data, commonly used in the social and biological sciences. Typical operationalizations of Granger causality make a strong assumption that every time point of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-23 Chainarong Amornbunchornvej , Elena Zheleva , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

This paper explores the potential of the transformer models for learning Granger causality in networks with complex nonlinear dynamics at every node, as in neurobiological and biophysical networks. Our study primarily focuses on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Ziyu Lu , Anika Tabassum , Shruti Kulkarni , Lu Mi , J. Nathan Kutz , Eric Shea-Brown , Seung-Hwan Lim

Graph topology inference of network processes with co-evolving and interacting time-series is crucial for network studies. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are popular approaches for topology inference of directed graphs; however, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-18 M. Ali Vosoughi , Axel Wismuller

Understanding causal relationships in multivariate time series is essential for predicting and controlling dynamic systems in fields like economics, neuroscience, and climate science. However, existing causal discovery methods often assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Abdellah Rahmani , Pascal Frossard

Granger causal inference is a contentious but widespread method used in fields ranging from economics to neuroscience. The original definition addresses the notion of causality in time series by establishing functional dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu