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相关论文: Nonlinear Causality in Time Series Networks: With …

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Discovery of causal relations is fundamental for understanding the dynamics of complex systems. While causal interactions are well defined for acyclic systems that can be separated into causally effective subsystems, a mathematical…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Daniel Harnack , Erik Laminski , Klaus Richard Pawelzik

Multiple metrics have been developed to detect causality relations between data describing the elements constituting complex systems, all of them considering their evolution through time. Here we propose a metric able to detect causality…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-05-20 Massimiliano Zanin

Being able to reason about how one's behaviour can affect the behaviour of others is a core skill required of intelligent driving agents. Despite this, the state of the art struggles to meet the need of agents to discover causal links…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-07 Rhys Howard , Lars Kunze

The Linear Threshold Model is a widely used model that describes how information diffuses through a social network. According to this model, an individual adopts an idea or product after the proportion of their neighbors who have adopted it…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-01-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

Unmeasured causal forces influence diverse experimental time series, such as the transcription factors that regulate genes, or the descending neurons that steer motor circuits. Combining the theory of skew-product dynamical systems with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 William Gilpin

Computational analysis of time-course data with an underlying causal structure is needed in a variety of domains, including neural spike trains, stock price movements, and gene expression levels. However, it can be challenging to determine…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Bud Mishra

In this paper we propose a causal analog to the purely observational Dynamic Bayesian Networks, which we call Dynamic Causal Networks. We provide a sound and complete algorithm for identification of Dynamic Causal Net- works, namely, for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-10-19 Gilles Blondel , Marta Arias , Ricard Gavaldà

Traditionally, statistical and causal inference on human subjects rely on the assumption that individuals are independently affected by treatments or exposures. However, recently there has been increasing interest in settings, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser , Youjin Lee

Causal discovery aims to uncover cause-and-effect relationships encoded in causal graphs by leveraging observational, interventional data, or their combination. The majority of existing causal discovery methods are developed assuming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu , Mahsa Ghasemi

Recent work has shown promising results in causal discovery by leveraging interventional data with gradient-based methods, even when the intervened variables are unknown. However, previous work assumes that the correspondence between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Gonçalo R. A. Faria , André F. T. Martins , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

Granger causality is well established within the neurosciences for inference of directed functional connectivity from neurophysiological data. These data usually consist of time series which subsample a continuous-time biophysiological…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-08 Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

Supervised causal learning has shown promise in causal discovery, yet it often struggles with generalization across diverse interventional settings, particularly when intervention targets are unknown. To address this, we propose TICL…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Wei Chen , Rui Ding , Bojun Huang , Yang Zhang , Qiang Fu , Yuxuan Liang , Han Shi , Dongmei Zhang

We present a new method for causal discovery in linear structural vector autoregressive models. We adapt an idea designed for independent observations to the case of time series while retaining its favorable properties, i.e., explicit error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Christoph Schultheiss , Markus Ulmer , Peter Bühlmann

Causal inference methods for observational data are increasingly recognized as a valuable complement to randomized clinical trials (RCTs). They can, under strong assumptions, emulate RCTs or help refine their focus. Our approach to causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-14 Carlo Berzuini , Davide Luciani , Hiren C. Patel

Coupled dynamical systems are frequently observed in nature, but often not well understood in terms of their causal structure without additional domain knowledge about the system. Especially when analyzing observational time series data of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Will Glad , Thomas Woolf

Ensuring safe operation of safety-critical complex systems interacting with their environment poses significant challenges, particularly when the system's world model relies on machine learning algorithms to process the perception input. A…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Roman Gansch , Lina Putze , Tjark Koopmann , Jan Reich , Christian Neurohr

Granger Causality (GC) offers an elegant statistical framework to study the association between multivariate time series data. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are simple and easy to fit, but have limited application because of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao , Maurizio Filippone

While the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model has received extensive attention for modelling complex time series, quantile VAR analysis remains relatively underexplored for high-dimensional time series data. To address this disparity, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Wenyang Liu , Ganggang Xu , Jianqing Fan , Xuening Zhu

Linear non-Gaussian causal models postulate that each random variable is a linear function of parent variables and non-Gaussian exogenous error terms. We study identification of the linear coefficients when such models contain latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Daniele Tramontano , Mathias Drton , Jalal Etesami

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus
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