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相关论文: Estimating Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Psych…

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We develop a Bayesian tree ensemble model to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in censored survival data with high-dimensional covariates. Instead of imposing sparsity through the tree structure, we place a horseshoe prior directly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Tijn Jacobs , Wessel N. van Wieringen , Stéphanie L. van der Pas

Estimating the joint effect of a multivariate, continuous exposure is crucial, particularly in environmental health where interest lies in simultaneously evaluating the impact of multiple environmental pollutants on health. We develop novel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-06 Heejun Shin , Antonio Linero , Michelle Audirac , Kezia Irene , Danielle Braun , Joseph Antonelli

A central goal of modern causal inference is estimating heterogeneous treatment effects to answer questions like "how does an intervention affect each unit," rather than only on average. We study this problem with panel-data where we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Anay Mehrotra , Phuc Tran , Van H. Vu , Manolis Zampetakis

The causal effect of an intervention (treatment/exposure) on an outcome can be estimated by: i) specifying knowledge about the data-generating process; ii) assessing under what assumptions a target quantity, such as for example a causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Michael Schomaker

Treatment effect heterogeneity refers to the systematic variation in treatment effects across subgroups. There is an increasing need for clinical trials that aim to investigate treatment effect heterogeneity and estimate subgroup-specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Xianglin Zhao , Shirin Golchi , Jean-Philippe Gouin , Kaberi Dasgupta

We present an end-to-end methodological framework for causal segment discovery that aims to uncover differential impacts of treatments across subgroups of users in large-scale digital experiments. Building on recent developments in causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-03 Nima S. Hejazi , Wenjing Zheng , Sathya Anand

A new meta-algorithm for estimating the conditional average treatment effects is proposed in the paper. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to consider a new dataset consisting of feature vectors produced by means of concatenation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Lev V. Utkin , Mikhail V. Kots , Viacheslav S. Chukanov

It has recently become popular to define treatment effects for subsets of the target population characterized by variables not observable at the time a treatment decision is made. Characterizing and estimating such treatment effects is…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-30 Marshall M. Joffe , Dylan Small , Chi-Yuan Hsu

Precision medicine provides customized treatments to patients based on their characteristics and is a promising approach to improving treatment efficiency. Large scale omics data are useful for patient characterization, but often their…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Jianchang Hu , Silke Szymczak

It is often critical for prediction models to be robust to distributional shifts between training and testing data. From a causal perspective, the challenge is to distinguish the stable causal relationships from the unstable spurious…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-15 Shuxi Zeng , Murat Ali Bayir , Joesph J. Pfeiffer , Denis Charles , Emre Kiciman

Estimating a causal effect from observational data can be biased if we do not control for self-selection. This selection is based on confounding variables that affect the treatment assignment and the outcome. Propensity score methods aim to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-10 Daniel Jacob

Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) is a flexible modeling technique that has been used in a broad range of small-area estimation problems. Traditionally, MRP studies have been focused on non-causal settings, where estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Yuxiang Gao , Lauren Kennedy , Daniel Simpson

Identifying covariates that modify treatment effects is a central problem in causal inference. Yet existing data-adaptive procedures do not provide finite-sample control over the expected number of false discoveries, risking spurious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Omar Melikechi

Randomized trials and observational studies, more often than not, run over a certain period of time. The treatment effect evolves during this period which provides crucial insights into the treatment response and the long-term effects. Many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-13 Shu Li , Peter Bühlmann

We introduce Targeted Smooth Bayesian Causal Forests (tsBCF), a nonparametric Bayesian approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects which vary smoothly over a single covariate in the observational data setting. The tsBCF method…

Heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation is critical in medical research. It provides insights into how treatment effects vary among individuals, which can provide statistical evidence for precision medicine. While most existing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-25 Ke Wan , Kensuke Tanioka , Toshio Shimokawa

Policy evaluation in empirical microeconomics has been focusing on estimating the average treatment effect and more recently the heterogeneous treatment effects, often relying on the unconfoundedness assumption. We propose a method based on…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-06 Wei Tian

Estimation of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) plays an essential role in modern medicine by informing treatment decision-making at a patient level. Several metalearners have been proposed recently to estimate CATEs in an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Yizhe Xu , Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Erik Sverdrup , Scott Fleming , Stefan Wager , Nigam Shah

This paper uses instrumental causal forests, a novel machine learning method, to explore the treatment effect heterogeneity of Indonesia's conditional cash transfer scheme on maternal health care utilisation. Using randomised programme…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-23 Vishalie Shah , Julia Hatamyar , Taufik Hidayat , Noemi Kreif

Causal inference is a critical research area with multi-disciplinary origins and applications, ranging from statistics, computer science, economics, psychology to public health. In many scientific research, randomized experiments provide a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Jingying Zeng
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