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Time series prediction has been a long-standing research topic and an essential application in many domains. Modern time series collected from sensor networks (e.g., energy consumption and traffic flow) are often large-scale and incomplete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun

Dynamic networks are used in a variety of fields to represent the structure and evolution of the relationships between entities. We present a model which embeds longitudinal network data as trajectories in a latent Euclidean space. A Markov…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen

Statistical models often assume that data are generated near a structured, smooth, or low-dimensional set. A common approach is to use Bayesian latent variable models, in which each observation is associated with a latent coordinate on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Leo L Duan , Yuexi Wang , Jason Xu

Latent position models are widely used for the analysis of networks in a variety of research fields. In fact, these models possess a number of desirable theoretical properties, and are particularly easy to interpret. However, statistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-08 Riccardo Rastelli , Florian Maire , Nial Friel

This work proposes a unified framework for efficient estimation under latent space modeling of heterogeneous networks. We consider a class of latent space models that decompose latent vectors into shared and network-specific components…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Yuang Tian , Jiajin Sun , Yinqiu He

Count data appears in various disciplines. In this work, a new method to analyze time series count data has been proposed. The method assumes exponentially decaying covariance structure, a special class of the Mat\'ern covariance function,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-19 Soudeep Deb

There has been considerable recent interest in Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional networks via latent space approaches. When the number of nodes increases, estimation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo can be extremely slow and show poor…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-05-30 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimiliano Russo

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

Time series of counts are frequently analyzed using generalized integer-valued autoregressive models with conditional heteroskedasticity (INGARCH). These models employ response functions to map a vector of past observations and past…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-04 Malte Jahn

Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-21 Tony Gracious , Shubham Gupta , Arun Kanthali , Rui M. Castro , Ambedkar Dukkipati

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

In this paper, we study the problem of locating a predefined sequence of patterns in a time series. In particular, the studied scenario assumes a theoretical model is available that contains the expected locations of the patterns. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-20 Steven Van Vaerenbergh , Ignacio Santamaria , Victor Elvira , Matteo Salvatori

The present study explores the interpretability of latent spaces produced by time series foundation models, focusing on their potential for visual analysis tasks. Specifically, we evaluate the MOMENT family of models, a set of…

Dynamic multilayer networks frequently represent the structure of multiple co-evolving relations; however, statistical models are not well-developed for this prevalent network type. Here, we propose a new latent space model for dynamic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Yuguo Chen

High-dimensional multivariate longitudinal data, which arise when many outcome variables are measured repeatedly over time, are becoming increasingly common in social, behavioral and health sciences. We propose a latent variable model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Tony Sit

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

Many scientific areas, from computer science to the environmental sciences and finance, give rise to multivariate time series which exhibit long memory, or loosely put, a slow decay in their autocorrelation structure. Efficient modelling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Chiara Boetti , Matthew A. Nunes , Marina I. Knight

Network data are often sampled with auxiliary information or collected through the observation of a complex system over time, leading to multiple network snapshots indexed by a continuous variable. Many methods in statistical network…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Peter W. MacDonald , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

We propose a combined model, which integrates the latent factor model and the logistic regression model, for the citation network. It is noticed that neither a latent factor model nor a logistic regression model alone is sufficient to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-03 Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo , Eric Heim , Lee Seversky

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari