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This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-14 Jianhua Z. Huang , Ya Su

We extend the correspondence between two-stage coding procedures in data compression and penalized likelihood procedures in statistical estimation. Traditionally, this had required restriction to countable parameter spaces. We show how to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-08 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Andrew Barron

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi

Distributional regression aims to find the best candidate in a given parametric family of conditional distributions to model a given dataset. As each candidate in the distribution family can be identified by the corresponding distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-18 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

Estimation in exploratory factor analysis often yields estimates on the boundary of the parameter space. Such occurrences, known as Heywood cases, are characterised by non-positive variance estimates and can cause issues in numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Philipp Sterzinger , Ioannis Kosmids , Irini Moustaki

We develop a maximum penalized quasi-likelihood estimator for estimating in a nonparametric way the diffusion function of a diffusion process, as an alternative to more traditional kernel-based estimators. After developing a numerical…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-01-12 Jeff Hamrick , Yifei Huang , Constantinos Kardaras , Murad Taqqu

We consider penalized estimation in hidden Markov models (HMMs) with multivariate Normal observations. In the moderate-to-large dimensional setting, estimation for HMMs remains challenging in practice, due to several concerns arising from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-09 Nicolas Städler , Sach Mukherjee

We suggest an iterative approach to computing K-step maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of the parametric components in semiparametric models based on their profile likelihoods. The higher order convergence rate of K-step MLE mainly depends…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-23 Guang Cheng

We propose a method for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) of a Markov-Modulated Jump-Diffusion Model (MMJDM) when the data is a discrete time sample of the diffusion process, the jumps follow a Laplace distribution, and the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-01 Laura Eslava , Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Bor Reynoso

Statistical modeling of monthly, seasonal, or annual rainfall data is an important research area in meteorology. These models play a crucial role in rainfed agriculture, where a proper assessment of the future availability of rainwater is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Arnab Hazra , Abhik Ghosh

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of latent variable models is often recast as the minimization of a free energy functional over an extended space of parameters and probability distributions. This perspective was recently combined with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Jen Ning Lim , Juan Kuntz , Samuel Power , Adam M. Johansen

Distributed learning of probabilistic models from multiple data repositories with minimum communication is increasingly important. We study a simple communication-efficient learning framework that first calculates the local maximum…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-13 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

The maximum product of spacings (MPS) is employed in the estimation of the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (GEV) and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). Efficient estimators are obtained by the MPS for all $\gamma$. This…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 T. S. T. Wong , W. K. Li

Unlike the commonly used parametric regression models such as mixed models, that can easily violate the required statistical assumptions and result in invalid statistical inference, target maximum likelihood estimation allows more realistic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Chi Zhang , Jennifer Ahern , Mark J. van der Laan

Penalized methods are applied to quasi likelihood analysis for stochastic differential equation models. In this paper, we treat the quasi likelihood function and the associated statistical random field for which a polynomial type large…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-30 Yoshiki Kinoshita , Nakahiro Yoshida

We analyze the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order two (MTP2). By exploiting connections to phylogenetics and single-linkage clustering, we give a simple proof…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-29 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

The paper considers parameter estimation in count data models using penalized likelihood methods. The motivating data consists of multiple independent count variables with a moderate sample size per variable. The data were collected during…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Minh Thu Bui , Cornelis J. Potgieter , Akihito Kamata

Parameter estimation in HEP experiments often involves Monte-Carlo simulation to model the experimental response function. A typical application are forward-folding likelihood analyses with re-weighting, or time-consuming minimization…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-06-12 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Estimation in generalized linear models (GLM) is complicated by the presence of constraints. One can handle constraints by maximizing a penalized log-likelihood. Penalties such as the lasso are effective in high dimensions, but often lead…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Jason Xu , Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

The exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) have emerged as an important framework for modeling social networks for a wide variety of relational types. ERGMs for valued networks are less well-developed than their unvalued…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-01 Peng Huang , Carter T. Butts