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Recent work has focused on nonparametric estimation of conditional treatment effects, but inference has remained relatively unexplored. We propose a class of nonparametric tests for both quantitative and qualitative treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Oliver Dukes , Mats J. Stensrud , Riccardo Brioschi , Aaron Hudson

We consider continuous-time models with a large panel of moment conditions, where the structural parameter depends on a set of characteristics, whose effects are of interest. The leading example is the linear factor model in financial…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-12-04 Yuan Liao , Xiye Yang

This paper provides a link between causal inference and machine learning techniques - specifically, Classification and Regression Trees (CART) - in observational studies where the receipt of the treatment is not randomized, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-23 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Giorgio Gnecco

We propose a quantile random-coefficient regression with interactive fixed effects to study the effects of group-level policies that are heterogeneous across individuals. Our approach is the first to use a latent factor structure to handle…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-06 Ruofan Xu , Jiti Gao , Tatsushi Oka , Yoon-Jae Whang

Conditional effect estimation has great scientific and policy importance because interventions may impact subjects differently depending on their characteristics. Most research has focused on estimating the conditional average treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

Covariate shift and outcome model heterogeneity are two prominent challenges in leveraging external sources to improve risk modeling for underrepresented cohorts in paucity of accurate labels. We consider the transfer learning problem…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Doudou Zhou , Mengyan Li , Tianxi Cai , Molei Liu

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

Consider the problem of estimating average treatment effects when a large number of covariates are used to adjust for possible confounding through outcome regression and propensity score models. The conventional approach of model building…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-31 Zhiqiang Tan

A crucial task for a randomized controlled trial (RCT) is to specify a statistical method that can yield an efficient estimator and powerful test for the treatment effect. A novel and effective strategy to obtain efficient and powerful…

Estimating treatment effects for subgroups defined by post-treatment behavior (i.e., estimating causal effects in a principal stratification framework) can be technically challenging and heavily reliant on strong assumptions. We investigate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-17 Luke Miratrix , Jane Furey , Avi Feller , Todd Grindal , Lindsay C. Page

Quantifying the heterogeneity is an important issue in meta-analysis, and among the existing measures, the $I^2$ statistic is most commonly used. In this paper, we first illustrate with a simple example that the $I^2$ statistic is heavily…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Ke Yang , Enxuan Lin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Tiejun Tong

We develop a framework for difference-in-differences designs with staggered treatment adoption and heterogeneous causal effects. We show that conventional regression-based estimators fail to provide unbiased estimates of relevant estimands…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-18 Kirill Borusyak , Xavier Jaravel , Jann Spiess

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) frequently utilize covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) (e.g., stratified block randomization) and commonly suffer from imperfect compliance. This paper studies the identification and inference for the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-02 Federico A. Bugni , Mengsi Gao , Filip Obradovic , Amilcar Velez

Statistical techniques used in air pollution modelling usually lack the possibility to understand which predictors affect air pollution in which functional form; and are not able to regress on exceedances over certain thresholds imposed by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Nadja Klein , Jorge Mateu

Random effects are a flexible addition to statistical models to capture structural heterogeneity in the data, such as spatial dependencies, individual differences, temporal dependencies, or non-linear effects. Testing for the presence (or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-21 Fabio Vieira , Hongwei Zhao , Joris Mulder

Generalized additive mixed models are introduced as an extension of the generalized linear mixed model which makes it possible to deal with temporal autocorrelational structure in experimental data. This autocorrelational structure is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-16 Harald Baayen , Shravan Vasishth , Douglas Bates , Reinhold Kliegl

Standard high-dimensional factor models assume that the comovements in a large set of variables could be modeled using a small number of latent factors that affect all variables. In many relevant applications in economics and finance,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-08 Antoine Djogbenou , Razvan Sufana

We propose a simple, statistically principled, and theoretically justified method to improve supervised learning when the training set is not representative, a situation known as covariate shift. We build upon a well-established methodology…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-12 Maximilian Autenrieth , David A. van Dyk , Roberto Trotta , David C. Stenning

Linear regressions with period and group fixed effects are widely used to estimate policies' effects: 26 of the 100 most cited papers published by the American Economic Review from 2015 to 2019 estimate such regressions. It has recently…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-22 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille