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Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

We consider the problem of short- and medium-term electricity load forecasting by using past loads and daily weather forecast information. Conventionally, many researchers have directly applied regression analysis. However, interpreting the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Kei Hirose

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

The relationship between electricity demand and variables such as economic activity and weather patterns is well established. However, this paper explores the connection between electricity demand and social aspects. It further embeds…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Yun Bai , Simon Camal , Andrea Michiorri

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

The energy transition is well underway in most European countries. It has a growing impact on electric power systems as it dramatically modifies the way electricity is produced. To ensure a safe and smooth transition towards a pan-European…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Laurent Pagnier , Philippe Jacquod

Accurate electrical consumption forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management and resource allocation. While traditional time series forecasting relies on historical patterns and temporal dependencies, incorporating external…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Fabien Bernier , Maxime Cordy , Yves Le Traon

The accurate prediction of short-term electricity prices is vital for effective trading strategies, power plant scheduling, profit maximisation and efficient system operation. However, uncertainties in supply and demand make such…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-20 Mira Watermeyer , Thomas Möbius , Oliver Grothe , Felix Müsgens

Accurate prediction of electric load is crucial in power grid planning and management. In this paper, we solve the electric load forecasting problem under extreme events such as scorching heats. One challenge for accurate forecasting is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Hengbo Liu , Ziqing Ma , Linxiao Yang , Tian Zhou , Rui Xia , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

The operation of power systems is affected by diverse technical, economic and social factors. Social behaviour determines load patterns, electricity markets regulate the generation and weather-dependent renewables introduce power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-04 Johannes Kruse , Eike Cramer , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

Space weather poses an important but under-quantified threat to critical infrastructure, the economy, and society. While extreme geomagnetic storms are recognized as potential global catastrophes, their socio-economic impacts remain poorly…

Due to the limitation of data availability, traditional power load forecasting methods focus more on studying the load variation pattern and the influence of only a few factors such as temperature and holidays, which fail to reveal the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-24 Pan Zeng , Md Fazla Elahe , Junlin Xu , Min Jin

Renewable energy sources play a major role in future net-zero energy systems. However, achieving energy system resilience remains challenging, since renewables depend on weather fluctuations, and future energy systems are subject to major…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-16 Luna Bloin-Wibe , Erich Fischer , Leonard Göke , Reto Knutti , Francesco de Marco , Jan Wohland

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Security of supply is a common and important concern when integrating renewables in net-zero power systems. Extreme weather affects both demand and supply leading to power system stress; in Europe this stress spreads continentally beyond…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-08 Aleksander Grochowicz , Hannah C. Bloomfield , Marta Victoria

Electric load forecasting is an indispensable component of electric power system planning and management. Inaccurate load forecasting may lead to the threat of outages or a waste of energy. Accurate electric load forecasting is challenging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-25 Linxiao Yang , Rui Ren , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun

Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-16 Jonathan Yang , Mingjian Tuo , Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li
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