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Despite the huge success of deep neural networks (NNs), finding good mechanisms for quantifying their prediction uncertainty is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are one of the most popular approaches to uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Agustinus Kristiadi , Sina Däubener , Asja Fischer

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We present a Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for unknown input-affine nonlinear dynamical systems. A non-parametric method is used to estimate the nonlinear dynamics from observed data. The estimated nonlinear dynamics are then…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-12 Dimitris Papadimitriou , Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

In this paper, we propose a novel framework for approximating the explicit MPC policy for linear parameter-varying systems using supervised learning. Our learning scheme guarantees feasibility and near-optimality of the approximated MPC…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-11 Xiaojing Zhang , Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Francesco Borrelli

The contribution of this paper is a framework for training and evaluation of Model Predictive Control (MPC) implemented using constrained neural networks. Recent studies have proposed to use neural networks with differentiable convex…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-11 Rebecka Winqvist , Arun Venkitaraman , Bo Wahlberg

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Neural network (NN) potentials promise highly accurate molecular dynamics (MD) simulations within the computational complexity of classical MD force fields. However, when applied outside their training domain, NN potential predictions can…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-07-28 Stephan Thaler , Gregor Doehner , Julija Zavadlav

Automated vehicles require efficient and safe planning to maneuver in uncertain environments. Largely this uncertainty is caused by other traffic participants, e.g., surrounding vehicles. Future motion of surrounding vehicles is often…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-09 Tim Brüdigam , Michael Olbrich , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In this paper, a self-triggered adaptive model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is proposed for constrained discrete-time nonlinear systems subject to parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances. To bound the parametric…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-12-17 Kunwu Zhang , Changxin Liu , Yang Shi

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

We provide a method to design adaptive controllers for nonlinear systems using model predictive control (MPC). By combining a certainty-equivalent MPC formulation with least-mean-square parameter adaptation, we obtain an adaptive controller…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-19 Johannes Köhler

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

The expansion in automation of increasingly fast applications and low-power edge devices poses a particular challenge for optimization based control algorithms, like model predictive control. Our proposed machine-learning supported approach…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-08 Hendrik Alsmeier , Anton Savchenko , Rolf Findeisen

Approaches for stochastic nonlinear model predictive control (SNMPC) typically make restrictive assumptions about the system dynamics and rely on approximations to characterize the evolution of the underlying uncertainty distributions. For…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-14 Adam Polevoy , Marin Kobilarov , Joseph Moore

Amortized Bayesian model comparison (BMC) enables fast probabilistic ranking of models via simulation-based training of neural surrogates. However, the accuracy of neural surrogates deteriorates when simulation models are misspecified; the…

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

Existing deep learning approaches for travel mode choice modeling fail to inform modelers about their prediction uncertainty. Even when facing scenarios that are out of the distribution of training data, which implies high prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Shuwen Zheng , Zhou Fang , Liang Zhao

Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) is a powerful and widely used technique for nonlinear dynamic process control under constraints. In NMPC, the state and control weights of the corresponding state and control costs are commonly…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-07 Dimche Kostadinov , Davide Scaramuzza

This paper presents a deep learning based model predictive control algorithm for control affine nonlinear discrete time systems with matched and bounded state dependent uncertainties of unknown structure. Since the structure of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-28 Prabhat K. Mishra , Mateus V. Gasparino , Andres E. B. Velsasquez , Girish Chowdhary