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We develop a Bayesian model-based approach to finite population estimation accounting for spatial dependence. Our innovation here is a framework that achieves inference for finite population quantities in spatial process settings. A key…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Alec M. Chan-Golston , Sudipto Banerjee , Mark S. Handcock

Small area population estimates are useful for decision making in the private and public sectors. However, in small areas (i.e., those that are difficult to reach and with small population sizes) computing demographic quantities is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Jairo Fúquene , Andryu Mendoza , Cesar Cristancho , Mariana Ospina

Population estimation is crucial for various applications, from resource allocation to urban planning. Traditional methods such as surveys and censuses are expensive, time-consuming and also heavily dependent on human resources, requiring…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-17 Jai Singla , Peal Jotania , Keivalya Pandya

Density estimation for geospatial data ideally relies on precise geocoordinates, typically defined by longitude and latitude. However, such detailed information is often unavailable due to confidentiality constraints. As a result, analysts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Michael Mühlbauer , Timo Schmid

Accurate and timely population data are essential for disaster response and humanitarian planning, but traditional censuses often cannot capture rapid demographic changes. Social media data offer a promising alternative for dynamic…

Poverty mapping that displays spatial distribution of various poverty indices is most useful to policymakers and researchers when they are disaggregated into small geographic units, such as cities, municipalities or other administrative…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-18 Partha Lahiri , Jiraphan Suntornchost

Spatial aggregation with respect to a population distribution involves estimating aggregate quantities for a population based on an observation of individuals in a subpopulation. In this context, a geostatistical workflow must account for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-15 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield

Millions of people worldwide are absent from their country's census. Accurate, current, and granular population metrics are critical to improving government allocation of resources, to measuring disease control, to responding to natural…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-05-08 Wenjie Hu , Jay Harshadbhai Patel , Zoe-Alanah Robert , Paul Novosad , Samuel Asher , Zhongyi Tang , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

We propose an approximate hierarchical Bayes approach that uses the Natural Exponential Family with Quadratic Variance Function in combining information from multiple sources to improve traditional survey estimates of finite population…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Soumojit Das , Partha Lahiri

We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework to analyze photometric galaxy survey data with stellar population synthesis (SPS) models. Our method couples robust modeling of spectral energy distributions with a population model and a noise…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-01-18 Boris Leistedt , Justin Alsing , Hiranya Peiris , Daniel Mortlock , Joel Leja

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

High-resolution estimates of population health indicators are critical for precision public health. We propose a method for high-resolution estimation that fuses distinct data sources: an unbiased, low-resolution data source (e.g.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Amy Guan , Marissa Reitsma , Roshni Sahoo , Joshua Salomon , Stefan Wager

Many areas of the world are without basic information on the socioeconomic well-being of the residing population due to limitations in existing data collection methods. Overhead images obtained remotely, such as from satellite or aircraft,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Ethan Brewer , Giovani Valdrighi , Parikshit Solunke , Joao Rulff , Yurii Piadyk , Zhonghui Lv , Jorge Poco , Claudio Silva

Genetic data obtained on population samples convey information about their evolutionary history. Inference methods can extract this information (at least partially) but they require sophisticated statistical techniques that have been made…

High resolution datasets of population density which accurately map sparsely-distributed human populations do not exist at a global scale. Typically, population data is obtained using censuses and statistical modeling. More recently,…

Obtaining high-resolution maps of precipitation data can provide key insights to stakeholders to assess a sustainable access to water resources at urban scale. Mapping a nonstationary, sparse process such as precipitation at very high…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Jiachen Zhang , Matthew Bonas , Diogo Bolster , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Stefano Castruccio

We present a new Bayesian method for reconstructing the parent distributions of X-ray spectral parameters of active galactic nuclei (AGN) in large surveys. The method uses the probability distribution function (PDF) of posteriors obtained…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2022-11-23 Lingsong Ge , Stéphane Paltani , Dominique Eckert , Mara Salvato

In recent years, methods of approximate parameter estimation have attracted considerable interest in complex problems where exact likelihoods are hard to obtain. In their most basic form, Bayesian methods such as Approximate Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-17 Johanna Bertl , Gregory Ewing , Carolin Kosiol , Andreas Futschik

We develop a method for probabilistic prediction of extreme value hot-spots in a spatio-temporal framework, tailored to big datasets containing important gaps. In this setting, direct calculation of summaries from data, such as the minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-02 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz
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