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With an ever-expanding ecosystem of noisy and intermediate-scale quantum devices, exploring their possible applications is a rapidly growing field of quantum information science. In this work, we demonstrate that variational quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-07-16 Johannes Jakob Meyer , Johannes Borregaard , Jens Eisert

Bayesian entity resolution merges together multiple, noisy databases and returns the minimal collection of unique individuals represented, together with their true, latent record values. Bayesian methods allow flexible generative models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-20 Tamara Broderick , Rebecca C. Steorts

Failure probabilities for grid components are often estimated using parametric models which can capitalize on operational grid data. This work formulates a Bayesian hierarchical framework designed to integrate data and domain expertise to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-22 Laurel N. Dunn , Ioanna Kavvada , Mathilde Badoual , Scott J. Moura

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Quantifying uncertainty and updating reliability are essential for ensuring the safety and performance of engineering systems. This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian modeling (HBM) framework to quantify uncertainty and update…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-31 Xinyu Jia , Weinan Hou , Costas Papadimitriou

Despite the dominant role of deep models in machine learning, limitations persist, including overconfident predictions, susceptibility to adversarial attacks, and underestimation of variability in predictions. The Bayesian paradigm provides…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

In this work, we present a new class of models, called uncertain-input models, that allows us to treat system-identification problems in which a linear system is subject to a partially unknown input signal. To encode prior information about…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-09-12 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Understanding how systems evolve over time often requires discovering the differential equations that govern their behavior. Automatically learning these equations from experimental data is challenging when the data are noisy or limited,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-11-19 Oriol Cabanas-Tirapu , Sergio Cobo-Lopez , Savannah E. Sanchez , Forest L. Rohwer , Marta Sales-Pardo , Roger Guimerà

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

Recently, combinations of generative and Bayesian machine learning have been introduced in particle physics for both fast detector simulation and inference tasks. These neural networks aim to quantify the uncertainty on the generated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Sebastian Bieringer , Sascha Diefenbacher , Gregor Kasieczka , Mathias Trabs

Measurement error in multinomial data is a well-known and well-studied inferential problem that is encountered in many fields, including engineering, biomedical and omics research, ecology, finance, official statistics, and social sciences.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Matthew D. Koslovsky , Andee Kaplan , Victoria A. Terranova , Mevin B. Hooten

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

We present a hierarchical Bayesian inference approach to estimating the structural properties and the phase space center of a globular cluster (GC) given the spatial and kinematic information of its stars based on lowered isothermal cluster…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2023-11-21 Robin Y. Wen , Joshua S. Speagle , Jeremy J. Webb , Gwendolyn M. Eadie

We present a novel method for inferring ground-truth signal from multiple degraded signals, affected by different amounts of sensor exposure. The algorithm learns a multiplicative degradation effect by performing iterative corrections of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-08 Luka Kolar , Rok Šikonja , Lenart Treven

High-throughput data analyses are becoming common in biology, communications, economics and sociology. The vast amounts of data are usually represented in the form of matrices and can be considered as knowledge networks. Spectra-based…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2010-01-06 Viet-Anh Nguyen , Zdena Koukolikova-Nicola , Franco Bagnoli , Pietro Lio

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

Meta-analysis is widely used to integrate results from multiple experiments to obtain generalized insights. Since meta-analysis datasets are often heteroscedastic due to varying subgroups and temporal heterogeneity arising from experiments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Keiichi Ochiai , Takahiro Hoshino