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While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

Knowledge of the noise distribution in diffusion MRI is the centerpiece to quantify uncertainties arising from the acquisition process. Accurate estimation beyond textbook distributions often requires information about the acquisition…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-07 Samuel St-Jean , Alberto De Luca , Chantal M. W. Tax , Max A. Viergever , Alexander Leemans

When partitioning workflows in realistic scenarios, the knowledge of the processing units is often vague or unknown. A naive approach to addressing this issue is to perform many controlled experiments for different workloads, each…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2015-11-03 Freddy C. Chua , Bernardo A. Huberman

Complex-valued Gaussian processes are commonly used in Bayesian frequency-domain system identification as prior models for regression. If each realization of such a process were an $H_\infty$ function with probability one, then the same…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-19 Alex Devonport , Peter Seiler , Murat Arcak

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility function of a stochastic differential equation driven by a gamma process. The volatility function is modelled a priori as piecewise constant, and we specify a gamma…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-18 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Posterior distributions on parameters computed from experimental data using Bayesian techniques are only as accurate as the models used to construct them. In many applications these models are incomplete, which both reduces the prospects of…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-06-23 Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) provides a flexible approach for non-linear dimensionality reduction that has been widely applied. However, the current approach for training GP-LVMs is based on maximum likelihood, where…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-09-09 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

Building surrogate models is one common approach when we attempt to learn unknown black-box functions. Bayesian optimization provides a framework which allows us to build surrogate models based on sequential samples drawn from the function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Hengrui Luo , James W. Demmel , Younghyun Cho , Xiaoye S. Li , Yang Liu

Ideally, a meta-analysis will summarize data from several unbiased studies. Here we consider the less than ideal situation in which contributing studies may be compromised by measurement error. Measurement error affects every study design,…

The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-26 Thanh Le , Vasant Honavar

We address the problem of parameter estimation in models of systems biology from noisy observations. The models we consider are characterized by simultaneous deterministic nonlinear differential equations whose parameters are either taken…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-01 Xin Liu , Mahesan Niranjan

A novel extrapolation method is proposed for longitudinal forecasting. A hierarchical Gaussian process model is used to combine nonlinear population change and individual memory of the past to make prediction. The prediction error is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-25 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

Choosing appropriate hyperparameters plays a crucial role in the success of neural networks as hyper-parameters directly control the behavior and performance of the training algorithms. To obtain efficient tuning, Bayesian optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Jiazhao Zhang , Ying Hung , Chung-Ching Lin , Zicheng Liu

We introduce Bayesian optimization, a technique developed for optimizing time-consuming engineering simulations and for fitting machine learning models on large datasets. Bayesian optimization guides the choice of experiments during…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-22 Peter I. Frazier , Jialei Wang

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Functional data are defined as realizations of random functions (mostly smooth functions) varying over a continuum, which are usually collected with measurement errors on discretized grids. In order to accurately smooth noisy functional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-13 Jingjing Yang , Dennis D. Cox , Jong Soo Lee , Peng Ren , Taeryon Choi