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In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) inference. We introduce a method for numerically approximating ABC posteriors using the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). A sequential Monte Carlo version of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Ajay Jasra , Seongil Jo , David Nott , Christine Shoemaker , Raul Tempone

Complex simulators have become a ubiquitous tool in many scientific disciplines, providing high-fidelity, implicit probabilistic models of natural and social phenomena. Unfortunately, they typically lack the tractability required for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Sebastian M Schmon , Patrick W Cannon , Jeremias Knoblauch

Sequential algorithms such as sequential importance sampling (SIS) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) have proven fundamental in Bayesian inference for models not admitting a readily available likelihood function. For approximate Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Umberto Picchini , Massimiliano Tamborrino

This paper presents a novel approach to level set estimation for any function/simulation with an arbitrary number of continuous inputs and arbitrary numbers of continuous responses. We present a method that uses existing data from computer…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-09 David Edwards , Julie Bessac , Franck Cappello , Scotland Leman

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

We present asymptotic results for the regression-adjusted version of approximate Bayesian computation introduced by Beaumont(2002). We show that for an appropriate choice of the bandwidth, regression adjustment will lead to a posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

We analyze the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), which approximates a likelihood function by drawing pseudo-samples from the associated model. For the rejection sampling version of ABC, it is known that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-18 Luke Bornn , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith , Dawn Woodard

We propose a novel approach for solving inverse-problems with high-dimensional inputs and an expensive forward mapping. It leverages joint deep generative modelling to transfer the original problem spaces to a lower dimensional latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-19 Eliane Maalouf , David Ginsbourger , Niklas Linde

This Chapter, "Overview of Approximate Bayesian Computation", is to appear as the first chapter in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). It details the main ideas and concepts behind ABC methods with many…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-28 S. A. Sisson , Y. Fan , M. A. Beaumont

In many applications involving spatial point patterns, we find evidence of inhibition or repulsion. The most commonly used class of models for such settings are the Gibbs point processes. A recent alternative, at least to the statistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-29 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan. E. Gelfand

This invited feature article introduces and provides an extensive simulation study of a new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework for estimating the posterior distribution and the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 George Karabatsos

B\'ezier simplex fitting algorithms have been recently proposed to approximate the Pareto set/front of multi-objective continuous optimization problems. These new methods have shown to be successful at approximating various shapes of Pareto…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-14 Akinori Tanaka , Akiyoshi Sannai , Ken Kobayashi , Naoki Hamada

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods permit approximate inference for intractable likelihoods when it is possible to simulate from the model. However they perform poorly for high dimensional data, and in practice must usually be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-05 Dennis Prangle , Richard G. Everitt , Theodore Kypraios

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of Bayesian inference algorithms that targets for problems with intractable or {unavailable} likelihood function. It uses synthetic data drawn from the simulation model to approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-24 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

By the nature of their construction, many statistical models for extremes result in likelihood functions that are computationally prohibitive to evaluate. This is consequently problematic for the purposes of likelihood-based inference. With…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-07 Robert Erhardt , Scott A. Sisson

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations give access to equilibrium structures and dynamic properties given an ergodic sampling and an accurate force-field. The force-field parameters are calibrated to reproduce properties measured by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-14 Ritabrata Dutta , Zacharias Faidon Brotzakis , Antonietta Mira

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau