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The world of empirical machine learning (ML) strongly relies on benchmarks in order to determine the relative effectiveness of different algorithms and methods. This paper proposes the notion of "a benchmark lottery" that describes the…

We consider learning a causal ordering of variables in a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model called LiNGAM. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate a causal ordering assuming that all the model assumptions are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-07-30 Tatsuya Tashiro , Shohei Shimizu , Aapo Hyvarinen , Takashi Washio

Parameter estimation connects mathematical models to real-world data and decision making across many scientific and industrial applications. Standard approaches such as maximum likelihood estimation and Markov chain Monte Carlo estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Matthew J Simpson , James S Bennett , Alexander Johnston , Ruth E Baker

We propose a new estimation procedure of the conditional density for independent and identically distributed data. Our procedure aims at using the data to select a function among arbitrary (at most countable) collections of candidates. By…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-26 Mathieu Sart

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

We consider a rank regression setting, in which a dataset of $N$ samples with features in $\mathbb{R}^d$ is ranked by an oracle via $M$ pairwise comparisons. Specifically, there exists a latent total ordering of the samples; when presented…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-05 Berkan Kadioglu , Peng Tian , Jennifer Dy , Deniz Erdogmus , Stratis Ioannidis

In many applications, data come with a natural ordering. This ordering can often induce local dependence among nearby variables. However, in complex data, the width of this dependence may vary, making simple assumptions such as a constant…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-11 Guo Yu , Jacob Bien

In information theory, the well-known log-sum inequality is a fundamental tool which indicates the non-negativity for the relative entropy. In this article, we establish a set of inequalities which are similar to the log-sum inequality…

泛函分析 · 数学 2022-11-08 Supriyo Dutta , Shigeru Furuichi

We propose a penalized likelihood method to fit the linear discriminant analysis model when the predictor is matrix valued. We simultaneously estimate the means and the precision matrix, which we assume has a Kronecker product…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

Strategic classification studies learning in settings where self-interested users can strategically modify their features to obtain favorable predictive outcomes. A key working assumption, however, is that "favorable" always means…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Sagi Levanon , Nir Rosenfeld

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

This paper explores generalised probabilistic modelling and uncertainty estimation in comparative LLM-as-a-judge frameworks. We show that existing Product-of-Experts methods are specific cases of a broader framework, enabling diverse…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Yassir Fathullah , Mark J. F. Gales

This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-16 Anders Bredahl Kock , Laurent A. F. Callot

Kolmogorov's exponential inequalities are basic tools for studying the strong limit theorems such as the classical laws of the iterated logarithm for both independent and dependent random variables. This paper establishes the Kolmogorov…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

This paper is devoted to model selection in logistic regression. We extend the model selection principle introduced by Birg\'e and Massart (2001) to logistic regression model. This selection is done by using penalized maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-01 Marius Kwemou , Marie-Luce Taupin , Anne-Sophie Tocquet

Discrete but ordered covariates are quite common in applied statistics, and some regularized fitting procedures have been proposed for proper handling of ordinal predictors in statistical modeling. In this study, we show how quadratic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-25 Jan Gertheiss , Fabian Scheipl , Tina Lauer , Harald Ehrhardt

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

Granger causality has been employed to investigate causality relations between components of stationary multiple time series. We generalize this concept by developing statistical inference for local Granger causality for multivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi , Hernando Ombao

We examine multi-task benchmarks in machine learning through the lens of social choice theory. We draw an analogy between benchmarks and electoral systems, where models are candidates and tasks are voters. This suggests a distinction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Guanhua Zhang , Moritz Hardt

In this paper, we consider a high-dimensional quantile regression model where the sparsity structure may differ between two sub-populations. We develop $\ell_1$-penalized estimators of both regression coefficients and the threshold…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-07 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin