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Transmission line outage rates are fundamental to power system reliability analysis. Line outages are infrequent, occurring only about once a year, so outage data are limited. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model that leverages line…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-24 Kai Zhou , James R. Cruise , Chris J. Dent , Ian Dobson , Louis Wehenkel , Zhaoyu Wang , Amy L. Wilson

Extreme weather events during peak winter periods drive resource adequacy risk in Great Britain (GB), with weather sensitivity of the supply-demand balance increasing through additional electric heating and wind generation. This work…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Aninda Bhattacharya , Chris J. Dent , Amy L. Wilson , Gabriele C. Hegerl

For a large (and recently increasing) number of households, affordability is a major hurdle in accessing sufficient electricity and avoiding service disconnections. For such households, in-home energy rationing, i.e. the need to actively…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-20 Maitreyee Marathe , Line A. Roald

Extreme hazard events such as wildfires and hurricanes increasingly threaten power systems, causing widespread outages and disrupting critical services. Recently, predict-then-optimize approaches have gained traction in grid operations,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Shuyi Chen , Ferdinando Fioretto , Feng Qiu , Shixiang Zhu

This paper develops a community resilience optimization method subject to power flow constraints in the Cyber-Physical-Social Systems in Power Engineering, which is solved using a multi-agent-based algorithm. The tool that makes the nexus…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-03 Jaber Valinejad , Lamine Mili

A key quality of any kind of system is its ability to deliver its respective service correctly. Often the unavailability of commercial systems may lead to lost revenue, which are minor compared to what may be at stake when critical…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2023-08-31 Armin Stocker , Hermann de Meer

Assessing and managing the impact of large-scale epidemics considering only the individual risk and severity of the disease is exceedingly difficult and could be extremely expensive. Economic consequences, infrastructure and service…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-12-11 Emanuele Massaro , Alexander Ganin , Nicola Perra , Igor Linkov , Alessandro Vespignani

The paper presents a sensitivity analysis of the factors affecting the optimal partitioning of a district heating network for distributed control. Leveraging a physics-based, distributed model predictive control framework and a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-13 Audrey Blizard , Stephanie Stockar

This paper proposes a nonlinear estimator for the robust reconstruction of process and sensor faults for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems. The proposed fault estimation method augments the system dynamics with an ultra-local (in time)…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-11 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

Climate change results in altered air and water temperatures. Increases affect physicochemical properties, such as oxygen concentration, and can shift species distribution and survival, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-11 Stefanie Mohr , Konstantina Drainas , Juergen Geist

This study explores compounding impacts of climate change on power system's load and generation, emphasising the need to integrate adaptation and mitigation strategies into investment planning. We combine existing and novel empirical…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-09-06 Alice Di Bella , Francesco Pietro Colelli

We propose a resilience-based framework for computing feasible assume-guarantee contracts that ensure the satisfaction of temporal specifications in interconnected discrete-time systems. Interconnection effects are modeled as structured…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-09 Negar Monir , Youssef Ait Si , Ratnangshu Das , Pushpak Jagtap , Adnane Saoud , Sadegh Soudjani

Large-scale meteorological disasters are increasing around the world, and power outage damage by natural disaster such as typhoons and earthquakes is increasing in Japan as well. Corresponding to the need of reduction of economic losses due…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-06 Hideya Yoshiuchi , Haruna Takaaki , Swapnil Bembde

Natural disasters, such as tornadoes, floods, and wildfire pose risks to life and property, requiring the intervention of insurance corporations. One of the most visible consequences of changing climate is an increase in the intensity and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-11 Thilini V. Mahanama , Abootaleb Shirvani

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Xuesong Wang , Nina Fatehi , Caisheng Wang , Masoud H. Nazari

Network Utility Maximization (NUM) provides a key conceptual framework to study reward allocation amongst a collection of users/entities across disciplines as diverse as economics, law and engineering. In network engineering, this framework…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Vinay Joseph , Gustavo de Veciana , Ari Arapostathis

Almost 90% of the major power outages in the US are caused due to hurricanes. Due to the highly uncertain nature of hurricanes in both spatial and temporal dimensions, it is essential to quantify the effect of such hurricanes on a power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Vishnu Iyengar , Diego Garcia-Camargo , Anamika Dubey

In this paper, a new model based on Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Inverse Data Envelopment Analysis (IDEA) is presented for estimating the effect of electricity on the output of industrial companies. To this end, the effect of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-06-20 Omid Ziaee , Bamdad Falahati

Instilling resilience in critical infrastructure (CI) such as dams or power grids is a major challenge for tomorrow's cities and communities. Resilience, here, pertains to a CI's ability to adapt or rapidly recover from disruptive events.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-09-04 AbdelRahman Eldosouky , Walid Saad , Narayan Mandayam

In the face of extreme events, e.g., hurricanes, the transmission systems, especially the transmission lines, are affected across time and space. To mitigate these impacts on the day-ahead market from a probabilistic perspective, a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-19 Tianyang Zhao , Huajun Zhang , Xiaochuan Liu , Shuhan Yao , Peng Wang