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Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in black box Neural Networks (NNs) is critical when deployed in real-world settings such as healthcare. Recent works using Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods have shown how a unified predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Utkarsh Sarawgi , Wazeer Zulfikar , Rishab Khincha , Pattie Maes

In many problems of data-driven modeling for dynamical systems, the governing equations are not known a priori and must be selected phenomenologically from a large set of candidate interactions and basis functions. In such situations, point…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Shuhei Kashiwamura , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori , Masato Okada

Uncertainty in control and perception poses challenges for autonomous vehicle navigation in unstructured environments, leading to navigation failures and potential vehicle damage. This paper introduces a framework that minimizes control and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-06-27 Junwon Seo , Jungwi Mun , Taekyung Kim

Evaluating safety performance in a resource-efficient way is crucial for the development of autonomous systems. Simulation of parameterized scenarios is a popular testing strategy but parameter sweeps can be prohibitively expensive. To…

Recently, deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for statistical downscaling, the set of methods for generating high-resolution climate fields from coarse low-resolution variables. Nevertheless, their ability to generalize to climate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Jose González-Abad , Jorge Baño-Medina

In this study, we explore in depth a few under-studied topics at the intersection of uncertainty estimation and segmentation. Prior work has shown that the quality of uncertainty estimates can be very sensitive to a range of variables. As…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Michael Smith , Frank P. Ferrie

The use of AI systems in healthcare for the early screening of diseases is of great clinical importance. Deep learning has shown great promise in medical imaging, but the reliability and trustworthiness of AI systems limit their deployment…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-17 Ke Zou , Zhihao Chen , Xuedong Yuan , Xiaojing Shen , Meng Wang , Huazhu Fu

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

This paper concerns the study of optimal (supremum and infimum) uncertainty bounds for systems where the input (or prior) probability measure is only partially/imperfectly known (e.g., with only statistical moments and/or on a coarse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-02 Xingsheng Sun , Burigede Liu

User and Entity Behaviour Analytics (UEBA) is a broad branch of data analytics that attempts to build a normal behavioural profile in order to detect anomalous events. Among the techniques used to detect anomalies, Deep Autoencoders…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Jose Fuentes , Ines Ortega-Fernandez , Nora M. Villanueva , Marta Sestelo

End-to-end autonomous driving aims to produce planning trajectories from raw sensors directly. Currently, most approaches integrate perception, prediction, and planning modules into a fully differentiable network, promising great…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Pengxuan Yang , Yupeng Zheng , Qichao Zhang , Kefei Zhu , Zebin Xing , Qiao Lin , Yun-Fu Liu , Zhiguo Su , Dongbin Zhao

There are two major types of uncertainty one can model. Aleatoric uncertainty captures noise inherent in the observations. On the other hand, epistemic uncertainty accounts for uncertainty in the model -- uncertainty which can be explained…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-10-06 Alex Kendall , Yarin Gal

Deep ensembles can be considered as the current state-of-the-art for uncertainty quantification in deep learning. While the approach was originally proposed as a non-Bayesian technique, arguments supporting its Bayesian footing have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-19 Lara Hoffmann , Clemens Elster

In safety-critical systems that interface with the real world, the role of uncertainty in decision-making is pivotal, particularly in the context of machine learning models. For the secure functioning of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-29 Neha Kumari , Sumit Kumar. Sneha Priya , Ayush Kumar , Akash Fogla

Safety is the primary priority of autonomous driving. Nevertheless, no published dataset currently supports the direct and explainable safety evaluation for autonomous driving. In this work, we propose DeepAccident, a large-scale dataset…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Tianqi Wang , Sukmin Kim , Wenxuan Ji , Enze Xie , Chongjian Ge , Junsong Chen , Zhenguo Li , Ping Luo

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of reinforcement learning and deep learning, with numerous applications ranging from efficient exploration and stable offline reinforcement learning to outlier detection in medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Moritz A. Zanger , Pascal R. Van der Vaart , Wendelin Böhmer , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

In many learning based control methodologies, learning the unknown dynamic model precedes the control phase, while the aim is to control the system such that it remains in some safe region of the state space. In this work, our aim is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-14 Farhad Farokhi , Alex Leong , Iman Shames , Mohammad Zamani

Parameter identification is crucial in virtual engineering processes, yet determining appropriate system excitations for identifying specific parameters remains challenging. In practice, extensive experimental programs often fail to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-07 Kevin Schmidt , Nicola Henkelmann , Christoph Mark , Johannes von Keler

Due to the importance of uncertainty quantification (UQ), Bayesian approach to inverse problems has recently gained popularity in applied mathematics, physics, and engineering. However, traditional Bayesian inference methods based on Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Babak Shahbaba