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Gibbs sampling is one of the most commonly used Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms due to its simplicity and efficiency. It cycles through the latent variables, sampling each one from its distribution conditional on the current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Yanbo Wang , Wenyu Chen , Shimin Shan

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

Bayesian regression remains a simple but effective tool based on Bayesian inference techniques. For large-scale applications, with complicated posterior distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are applied. To improve the well-known…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-28 Joris Tavernier , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Karl Meerbergen , Yves Moreau

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

In Bayesian inverse problems, the posterior distribution is used to quantify uncertainty about the reconstructed solution. In practice, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms often are used to draw samples from the posterior distribution.…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-03-13 D. Andrew Brown , Arvind Saibaba , Sarah Vallélian

The maximum a-posteriori (MAP) perturbation framework has emerged as a useful approach for inference and learning in high dimensional complex models. By maximizing a randomly perturbed potential function, MAP perturbations generate unbiased…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-10-17 Francesco Orabona , Tamir Hazan , Anand D. Sarwate , Tommi Jaakkola

The random dot product graph is a popular model for network data with extensions that accommodate dynamic (time-varying) networks. However, two significant deficiencies exist in the dynamic random dot product graph literature: (1) no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Joshua Daniel Loyal

In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

This work presents a tractable approach to multi-object posterior computation under a generic measurement likelihood function. While filtering is a popular solution, valuable historical information is discarded. Posterior inference, which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Ba Tuong Vo , Ba-Ngu Vo

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

We consider Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for Bayesian high-dimensional regression with continuous shrinkage priors. A common challenge with these algorithms is the choice of the number of iterations to perform. This is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Niloy Biswas , Anirban Bhattacharya , Pierre E. Jacob , James E. Johndrow

We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Alkis Gotovos , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause , Stefanie Jegelka

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems typically relies on posterior sampling approaches, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, for which the generation of each sample requires one or more evaluations of the parameter-to-observable map or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-23 Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

This paper presents a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample from the posterior distribution of conjugate mixture models. This algorithm relies on a flexible split-merge procedure built using the particle Gibbs sampler. Contrary to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Arnaud Doucet , Andrew Roth

Poisson log-linear models are ubiquitous in many applications, and one of the most popular approaches for parametric count regression. In the Bayesian context, however, there are no sufficient specific computational tools for efficient…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-02 Laura D'Angelo , Antonio Canale

A key quantity of interest in Bayesian inference are expectations of functions with respect to a posterior distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a fundamental tool to consistently compute these expectations via averaging samples drawn…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-10 Heiko Strathmann , Dino Sejdinovic , Mark Girolami

The well-known Bayes theorem assumes that a posterior distribution is a probability distribution. However, the posterior distribution may no longer be a probability distribution if an improper prior distribution (non-probability measure)…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-08-28 Hyungsuk Tak , Sujit K. Ghosh , Justin A. Ellis