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A typical desideratum for quantifying the uncertainty from a classification model as a prediction set is class-conditional singleton set calibration. That is, such sets should map to the output of well-calibrated selective classifiers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Allen Schmaltz , Danielle Rasooly

We address the consistency of a kernel ridge regression estimate of the conditional mean embedding (CME), which is an embedding of the conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X$ into a target reproducing kernel Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}_Y$.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-13 Zhu Li , Dimitri Meunier , Mattes Mollenhauer , Arthur Gretton

We address the challenge of constructing valid confidence intervals and sets in problems of prediction across multiple environments. We investigate two types of coverage suitable for these problems, extending the jackknife and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-14 John C. Duchi , Suyash Gupta , Kuanhao Jiang , Pragya Sur

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

In this work, we investigate the expressiveness of the "conditional mutual information" (CMI) framework of Steinke and Zakynthinou (2020) and the prospect of using it to provide a unified framework for proving generalization bounds in the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-18 Mahdi Haghifam , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Shay Moran , Daniel M. Roy

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score to improve conditional coverage while ensuring exact…

This paper studies convergence of empirical risks in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). A conventional assumption in the existing research is that empirical training data do not contain any noise but this may not be satisfied in some…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-05-19 Shaoyan Guo , Huifu Xu , Liwei Zhang

We study the generation of prediction intervals in regression for uncertainty quantification. This task can be formalized as an empirical constrained optimization problem that minimizes the average interval width while maintaining the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Haoxian Chen , Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Huajie Qian , Haofeng Zhang

As safety is of paramount importance in robotics, reinforcement learning that reflects safety, called safe RL, has been studied extensively. In safe RL, we aim to find a policy which maximizes the desired return while satisfying the defined…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Dohyeong Kim , Songhwai Oh

We investigate robust nonparametric regression in the presence of heavy-tailed noise, where the hypothesis class may contain unbounded functions and robustness is ensured via a robust loss function $\ell_\sigma$. Using Huber regression as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Yunlong Feng , Qiang Wu

Conditional kernel mean embeddings are nonparametric models that encode conditional expectations in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. While they provide a flexible and powerful framework for probabilistic inference, their performance is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-09 Kelvin Hsu , Richard Nock , Fabio Ramos

This paper studies some robust regression problems associated with the $q$-norm loss ($q\ge1$) and the $\epsilon$-insensitive $q$-norm loss in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We establish a variance-expectation bound under a priori…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-10 Ting Hu , Yuan Yao

Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

Existing certified training methods can only train models to be robust against a certain perturbation type (e.g. $l_\infty$ or $l_2$). However, an $l_\infty$ certifiably robust model may not be certifiably robust against $l_2$ perturbation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Enyi Jiang , David S. Cheung , Gagandeep Singh

Machine-learning techniques are essential in modern collider research, yet their probabilistic outputs often lack calibrated uncertainty estimates and finite-sample guarantees, limiting their direct use in statistical inference and…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-12-22 Jack Y. Araz , Michael Spannowsky

Conformal unlearning aims to ensure that a trained conformal predictor miscovers data points with specific shared characteristics, such as those from a particular label class, associated with a specific user, or belonging to a defined…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Yahya Alkhatib , Muhammad Ahmar Jamal , Wee Peng Tay

Constrained reinforcement learning is to maximize the expected reward subject to constraints on utilities/costs. However, the training environment may not be the same as the test one, due to, e.g., modeling error, adversarial attack,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-16 Yue Wang , Fei Miao , Shaofeng Zou

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

Approaches to keeping a dynamical system within state constraints typically rely on a model-based safety condition to limit the control signals. In the face of significant modeling uncertainty, the system can suffer from important…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-08 Marc-Antoine Beaudoin , Benoit Boulet

Predictive safety filters enable the integration of potentially unsafe learning-based control approaches and humans into safety-critical systems. In addition to simple constraint satisfaction, many control problems involve additional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-19 Elias Milios , Kim Peter Wabersich , Felix Berkel , Lukas Schwenkel