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Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Similar to conventional video generation, current deep learning-based weather prediction frameworks often lack explicit physical constraints, leading to unphysical outputs that limit their reliability for operational forecasting. Among…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-27 Qiusheng Huang , Xiaohui Zhong , Xu Fan , Lei Chen , Hao Li

Weather forecasting is a crucial task for meteorologic research, with direct social and economic impacts. Recently, data-driven weather forecasting models based on deep learning have shown great potential, achieving superior performance…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-08-26 Lihao Gan , Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jie Shao

Precipitation nowcasting is critical for disaster mitigation and aviation safety. However, radar-only models frequently suffer from a lack of large-scale atmospheric context, leading to performance degradation at longer lead times. While…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Yuze Qin , Qingyong Li , Zhiqing Guo , Wen Wang , Yan Liu , Yangli-ao Geng

Time series forecasting is a crucial task in machine learning, as it has a wide range of applications including but not limited to forecasting electricity consumption, traffic, and air quality. Traditional forecasting models rely on rolling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-22 Shereen Elsayed , Daniela Thyssens , Ahmed Rashed , Hadi Samer Jomaa , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

The forecast accuracy of machine learning (ML) weather prediction models is improving rapidly, leading many to speak of a "second revolution in weather forecasting". With numerous methods being developed and limited physical guarantees…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-01-24 Olivier C. Pasche , Jonathan Wider , Zhongwei Zhang , Jakob Zscheischler , Sebastian Engelke

There has been huge recent interest in the potential of making operational weather forecasts using machine learning techniques. As they become a part of the weather forecasting toolbox, there is a pressing need to understand how well…

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

We review how machine learning has transformed our ability to model the Earth system, and how we expect recent breakthroughs to benefit end-users in Switzerland in the near future. Drawing from our review, we identify three recommendations.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-29 Tom Beucler , Erwan Koch , Sven Kotlarski , David Leutwyler , Adrien Michel , Jonathan Koh

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

Classifying the state of the atmosphere into a finite number of large-scale circulation regimes is a popular way of investigating teleconnections, the predictability of severe weather events, and climate change. Here, we investigate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Andreas Holm Nielsen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henrik Karstoft

Climate system models (CSMs), through integrating cross-sphere interactions among the atmosphere, ocean, land, and cryosphere, have emerged as pivotal tools for deciphering climate dynamics and improving forecasting capabilities. Recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-13 Chenguang Zhou , Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Bo Lu , Hao Li , Libo Wu , Jie Wu , Jiahui Hu , Zesheng Dou , Pang-Chi Hsu , Xiaoye Zhang

This paper provides an outlook on the future of operational weather prediction given the recent evolution in science, computing and machine learning. In many parts, this evolution strongly deviates from the strategy operational centres have…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-06 Peter Bauer

Precipitation nowcasting, critical for flood emergency and river management, has remained challenging for decades, although recent developments in deep generative modeling (DGM) suggest the possibility of improvements. River management…

Climate change has led to an increase in frequency of extreme weather events. Early warning systems can prevent disasters and loss of life. Managing such events remain a challenge for both public and private institutions. Precipitation…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-13 Ajitabh Kumar

In recent years, a study by environmental organizations in the world and Vietnam shows that weather change is quite complex. global warming has become a serious problem in the modern world, which is a concern for scientists. last century,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Nguyen Phuc Tran , Duy Thanh Tran , Thi Thuy Nga Duong

Multiple studies have now demonstrated that machine learning (ML) can give improved skill for predicting or simulating fairly typical weather events, for tasks such as short-term and seasonal weather forecasting, downscaling simulations to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-08-30 Peter AG Watson

Given the interpretability, accuracy, and stability of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, current operational weather forecasting relies heavily on the NWP approach. In the past two years, the rapid development of Artificial…

Running high-resolution physical models is computationally expensive and essential for many disciplines. Agriculture, transportation, and energy are sectors that depend on high-resolution weather models, which typically consume many hours…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-17 Eduardo R. Rodrigues , Igor Oliveira , Renato L. F. Cunha , Marco A. S. Netto

AI-based methods have revolutionized atmospheric forecasting, with recent successes in medium-range forecasting spurring the development of climate foundation models. Accurate modeling of complex atmospheric dynamics at high spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Deifilia Kieckhefen , Markus Götz , Lars H. Heyen , Achim Streit , Charlotte Debus