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Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-09 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich

Data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) models have made significant advancements in weather forecasting, particularly in medium-range and nowcasting. However, most data-driven weather forecasting models are black-box systems that focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Wanghan Xu , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Tao Han , Hao Chen , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel solution to tackle this problem -- integrating terrain-following coordinates into AIWP models.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-17 Yingkai Sha , John S. Schreck , William Chapman , David John Gagne

The Weather4cast 2021 competition gave the participants a task of predicting the time evolution of two-dimensional fields of satellite-based meteorological data. This paper describes the author's efforts, after initial success in the first…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-16 Jussi Leinonen

Accurate prediction of extreme weather events remains a major challenge for artificial intelligence-based weather prediction systems. While deterministic models such as FuXi, GraphCast, and SFNO have achieved competitive forecast skill…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-01 Rodrigo Almeida , Noelia Otero , Miguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres , Jackie Ma

Data-driven models, such as FourCastNet (FCN), have shown exemplary performance in high-resolution global weather forecasting. This performance, however, is based on supervision on mesh-gridded weather data without the utilization of raw…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-10-25 Tao Ge , Jaideep Pathak , Akshay Subramaniam , Karthik Kashinath

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

The use of machine learning (ML) models in meteorology has attracted significant attention for their potential to improve weather forecasting efficiency and accuracy. GraphCast and NeuralGCM, two promising ML-based weather models, are at…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-25 Xiaoxu Tian , Daniel Holdaway , Daryl Kleist

A large number of Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) architectures -- based on various backbones, including U-Net, Transformer, Graph Neural Network, and Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) -- have demonstrated their potential at forecasting…

A promising approach to improve climate-model simulations is to replace traditional subgrid parameterizations based on simplified physical models by machine learning algorithms that are data-driven. However, neural networks (NNs) often lead…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-04-07 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman , Chris N. Hill

Over the past decade the use of machine learning in meteorology has grown rapidly. Specifically neural networks and deep learning have been used at an unprecedented rate. In order to fill the dearth of resources covering neural networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-26 Randy J. Chase , David R. Harrison , Gary Lackmann , Amy McGovern

Accurate weather forecasts are essential for supporting a wide range of activities and decision-making processes, as well as mitigating the impacts of adverse weather events. While traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) remains the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Daniele Zambon , Michele Cattaneo , Ivan Marisca , Jonas Bhend , Daniele Nerini , Cesare Alippi

Typical deep learning approaches to modeling high-dimensional data often result in complex models that do not easily reveal a new understanding of the data. Research in the deep learning field is very actively pursuing new methods to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-16 Charles Anderson , Jason Stock , David Anderson

This study introduces a cutting-edge regional weather forecasting model based on the SwinTransformer 3D architecture. This model is specifically designed to deliver precise hourly weather predictions ranging from 1 hour to 5 days,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-19 Hongli Liang , Yuanting Zhang , Qingye Meng , Shuangshuang He , Xingyuan Yuan

The goal of this study was to improve the post-processing of precipitation forecasts using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Instead of post-processing forecasts on a per-pixel basis, as is usually done when employing machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-18 Bob de Ruiter

The classification of weather data involves categorizing meteorological phenomena into classes, thereby facilitating nuanced analyses and precise predictions for various sectors such as agriculture, aviation, and disaster management. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-23 Elaheh Jafarigol , Theodore Trafalis

The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet