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We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

We consider the problem of estimating the period of an unknown periodic function observed in additive noise sampled at irregularly spaced time instants in a semiparametric setting. To solve this problem, we propose a novel estimator based…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-01-03 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Eric Moulines , François Roueff

In this article, we consider flexible seasonal time series models which consist of a common trend function over periods and additive individual trend (seasonal effect) functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the local linear…

数学物理 · 物理学 2014-03-11 Kyong-Hui Kim , Hak-Myong Pak

This paper introduces a data-adaptive non-parametric approach for the estimation of time-varying spectral densities from nonstationary time series. Time-varying spectral densities are commonly estimated by local kernel smoothing. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

This paper considers a general class of nonparametric time series regression models where the regression function can be time-dependent. We establish an asymptotic theory for estimates of the time-varying regression functions. For this…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-23 Sara Kristin Schmidt

The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Gyorgy H. Terdik , Stergios B. Fotopoulos , Venkata K. Jandhyala

In this paper we propose using a nonparametric model specification test for parametric time series with long-range dependence (LRD). To establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistic, we develop new central limit theorems…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-11 Jiti Gao , Qiying Wang , Jiying Yin

Spectrum estimation is a fundamental methodology in the analysis of time-series data, with applications including medicine, speech analysis, and control design. The asymptotic theory of spectrum estimation is well-understood, but the theory…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-15 Andrew Lamperski

We consider asymptotic problems in spectral analysis of stationary causal processes. Limiting distributions of periodograms and smoothed periodogram spectral density estimates are obtained and applications to the spectral domain bootstrap…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Xiaofeng Shao , Wei Biao Wu

We study the asymptotic behaviour of different statistics for time series exhibiting long memory and nonstationarity. For processes with memory parameter $d\in(-1/2,3/2)$, we derive the joint limiting distribution of discrete Fourier…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

Spectral estimation is an important tool in time series analysis, with applications including economics, astronomy, and climatology. The asymptotic theory for non-parametric estimation is well-known but the development of non-asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-02 Yuping Zheng , Andrew Lamperski

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

This paper introduces a version of empirical likelihood based on the periodogram and spectral estimating equations. This formulation handles dependent data through a data transformation (i.e., a Fourier transform) and is developed in terms…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Daniel J. Nordman , Soumendra N. Lahiri

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li