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A dependence measure for arbitrary type pairs of random variables is proposed and analyzed, which in the particular case where both random variables are continuous turns out to be a concordance measure. Also, a sample version of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-07 Arturo Erdely

Fully describing the entire data set is essential in multivariate risk assessment, since moderate levels of one variable can influence another, potentially leading it to be extreme. Additionally, modelling both non-extreme and extreme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Lídia M. André , Jonathan A. Tawn

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

We discuss the connection between information and copula theories by showing that a copula can be employed to decompose the information content of a multivariate distribution into marginal and dependence components, with the latter…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-10-26 Rafael S. Calsaverini , Renato Vicente

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

The role of cryptocurrencies within the financial systems has been expanding rapidly in recent years among investors and institutions. It is therefore crucial to investigate the phenomena and develop statistical methods able to capture…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We review ideas on temporal dependences and recurrences in discrete time series from several areas of natural and social sciences. We revisit existing studies and redefine the relevant observables in the language of copulas (joint laws of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-04-11 Rémy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

A factor copula model is proposed in which factors are either simulable or estimable from exogenous information. Point estimation and inference are based on a simulated methods of moments (SMM) approach with non-overlapping simulation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-02 Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

In this article we review existing literature on dynamic copulas and then propose an n-copula which varies in time and space. Our approach makes use of stochastic differential equations, and gives rise to a dynamic copula which is able to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Glenis Crane

We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

Signals coming from multivariate higher order conditional moments as well as the information contained in exogenous covariates, can be effectively exploited by rational investors to allocate their wealth among different risky investment…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2016-01-21 Mauro Bernardi , Leopoldo Catania

Multivariate time series exhibit two types of dependence: across variables and across time points. Vine copulas are graphical models for the dependence and can conveniently capture both types of dependence in the same model. We derive the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Thomas Nagler , Daniel Krüger , Aleksey Min

Systems subject to uncertain inputs produce uncertain responses. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) deals with the estimation of statistics of the system response, given a computational model of the system and a probabilistic model of its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-13 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

Modern datasets commonly feature both substantial missingness and many variables of mixed data types, which present significant challenges for estimation and inference. Complete case analysis, which proceeds using only the observations with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-10 Joseph Feldman , Daniel R. Kowal

Non-random sample selection is a commonplace amongst many empirical studies and it appears when an output variable of interest is available only for a restricted non-random sub-sample of data. We introduce an extension of the generalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-18 M. Wojtyś , G. Marra

In this paper we consider several continuous-time multivariate non-Gaussian models applied to finance and proposed in the literature in the last years. We study the models focusing on the parsimony of the number of parameters, the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-14 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Asmerilda Hitaj , Gian Luca Tassinari

We introduce new estimates and tests of independence in copula models with unknown margins using $\phi$-divergences and the duality technique. The asymptotic laws of the estimates and the test statistics are established both when the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Amor Keziou

We introduce a new test procedure of independence in the framework of parametric copulas with unknown marginals. The method is based essentially on the dual representation of $\chi^2$-divergence on signed finite measures. The asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-15 Salim Bouzebda , Amor Keziou

We propose an approach to construct a new family of generalized Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (GFGM) copulas that naturally scales to high dimensions. A GFGM copula can model moderate positive and negative dependence, cover different types of…