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Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

In this paper, we present a data-driven framework for real-time estimation of reachable sets for control systems where the plant is modeled using neural networks (NNs). We utilize a running example of a quadrotor model that is learned using…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-08 Omanshu Thapliyal , Inseok Hwang

Robots have become increasingly prevalent in dynamic and crowded environments such as airports and shopping malls. In these scenarios, the critical challenges for robot navigation are reliability and timely arrival at predetermined…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-21 Zhirui Sun , Boshu Lei , Peijia Xie , Fugang Liu , Junjie Gao , Ying Zhang , Jiankun Wang

Decision trees are widely used for classification and regression tasks in a variety of application fields due to their interpretability and good accuracy. During the past decade, growing attention has been devoted to globally optimized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Antonio Consolo , Edoardo Amaldi , Andrea Manno

Robust navigation in changing marine environments requires autonomous systems capable of perceiving, reasoning, and acting under uncertainty. This study introduces a hybrid risk-aware navigation architecture that integrates probabilistic…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Ozan Kaya , Emir Cem Gezer , Roger Skjetne , Ingrid Bouwer Utne

In this paper we discuss distributional robustness in the context of stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) for linear time-invariant systems. We derive a simple approximation of the MPC problem under an additive zero-mean i.i.d. noise…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

This paper proposes a multi-step probabilistic forecasting framework using a single neural-network based model to generate simultaneous point and interval forecasts. Our approach ensures non-crossing prediction intervals (PIs) through a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Worachit Amnuaypongsa , Yotsapat Suparanonrat , Pana Wanitchollakit , Jitkomut Songsiri

Trajectory planning is challenging for autonomous cars since they operate in unpredictable environments with limited sensor horizons. To incorporate new information as it is sensed, planning is done in a loop, with the next plan being…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-02-07 Sean Vaskov , Utkarsh Sharma , Shreyas Kousik , Matthew Johnson-Roberson , Ramanarayan Vasudevan

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

For the discovery of regression relationships between Y and a large set of p potential predictors x 1 , . . . , x p , the flexible nonparametric nature of BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) allows for a much richer set of…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch , Thomas S. Shively

This paper studies the problem of control strategy synthesis for dynamical systems with differential constraints to fulfill a given reachability goal while satisfying a set of safety rules. Particular attention is devoted to goals that…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2013-11-07 Luis I. Reyes Castro , Pratik Chaudhari , Jana Tumova , Sertac Karaman , Emilio Frazzoli , Daniela Rus

In many safety-critical settings, probabilistic ML systems have to make predictions subject to algebraic constraints, e.g., predicting the most likely trajectory that does not cross obstacles. These real-world constraints are rarely convex,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Leander Kurscheidt , Gabriele Masina , Roberto Sebastiani , Antonio Vergari

We consider finite horizon reach-avoid problems for discrete time stochastic systems. Our goal is to construct upper bound functions for the reach-avoid probability by means of tractable convex optimization problems. We achieve this by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-06-11 Nikolaos Kariotoglou , Maryam Kamgarpour , Tyler H. Summers , John Lygeros

We explore the probabilistic foundations of shared control in complex dynamic environments. In order to do this, we formulate shared control as a random process and describe the joint distribution that governs its behavior. For…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2015-08-10 Pete Trautman

Existing macroscopic traffic control methods often struggle to strictly regulate rare, safety-critical extreme events under stochastic disturbances. In this paper, we develop a rare chance-constrained optimal control framework for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-03 Rui Xu , Shanyin Tong , Xuan Di

We develop and analyze methods for computing provably optimal {\em maximum a posteriori} (MAP) configurations for a subclass of Markov random fields defined on graphs with cycles. By decomposing the original distribution into a convex…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan S. Willsky

Accurate prediction of surrounding road users' trajectories is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving. While deep learning models have improved performance, challenges remain in preventing off-road predictions and ensuring…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Ahmed Abouelazm , Mianzhi Liu , Christian Hubschneider , Yin Wu , Daniel Slieter , J. Marius Zöllner

We present a distributionally robust optimization (DRO) approach for the transmission expansion planning problem, considering both long- and short-term uncertainties on the system demand and non-dispatchable renewable generation. On the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-03-17 Alexandre Velloso , David Pozo , Alexandre Street

Classification and Regression Trees (CARTs) are off-the-shelf techniques in modern Statistics and Machine Learning. CARTs are traditionally built by means of a greedy procedure, sequentially deciding the splitting predictor variable(s) and…

Reinforcement learning has shown promising results in learning neural network policies for complicated control tasks. However, the lack of formal guarantees about the behavior of such policies remains an impediment to their deployment. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Đorđe Žikelić , Mathias Lechner , Abhinav Verma , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Thomas A. Henzinger