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Quantifying the uncertainty of supervised learning models plays an important role in making more reliable predictions. Epistemic uncertainty, which usually is due to insufficient knowledge about the model, can be reduced by collecting more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-27 Xinlei Zhou , Han Liu , Farhad Pourpanah , Tieyong Zeng , Xizhao Wang

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

Inverse problems play a key role in modern image/signal processing methods. However, since they are generally ill-conditioned or ill-posed due to lack of observations, their solutions may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Analysing…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-09-09 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

The history of deep learning has shown that human-designed problem-specific networks can greatly improve the classification performance of general neural models. In most practical cases, however, choosing the optimal architecture for a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-14 Nicolo Colombo , Yang Gao

The comprehensive integration of machine learning healthcare models within clinical practice remains suboptimal, notwithstanding the proliferation of high-performing solutions reported in the literature. A predominant factor hindering…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-12 Ling Huang , Su Ruan , Yucheng Xing , Mengling Feng

Precise estimation of uncertainty in predictions for AI systems is a critical factor in ensuring trust and safety. Deep neural networks trained with a conventional method are prone to over-confident predictions. In contrast to Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

The use of deep learning for medical imaging has seen tremendous growth in the research community. One reason for the slow uptake of these systems in the clinical setting is that they are complex, opaque and tend to fail silently. Outside…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-03 Terrance DeVries , Graham W. Taylor

With the wide development of black-box machine learning algorithms, particularly deep neural network (DNN), the practical demand for the reliability assessment is rapidly rising. On the basis of the concept that `Bayesian deep learning…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-04-19 Kenta Hama , Takashi Matsubara , Kuniaki Uehara , Jianfei Cai

Parameter estimation and inference from complex survey samples typically focuses on global model parameters whose estimators have asymptotic properties, such as from fixed effects regression models. The central challenge is to both mitigate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Matthew R. Williams , F. Hunter McGuire , Terrance D. Savitsky

Explainability of black-box machine learning models is crucial, in particular when deployed in critical applications such as medicine or autonomous cars. Existing approaches produce explanations for the predictions of models, however, how…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-18 Jonas Schulz , Rafael Poyiadzi , Raul Santos-Rodriguez

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

It is known that neural networks have the problem of being over-confident when directly using the output label distribution to generate uncertainty measures. Existing methods mainly resolve this issue by retraining the entire model to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-15 Maohao Shen , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Soumya Ghosh , Subhro Das , Gregory Wornell

Neural Networks have high accuracy in solving problems where it is difficult to detect patterns or create a logical model. However, these algorithms sometimes return wrong solutions, which become problematic in high-risk domains like…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-26 Miguel N. Font , José L. Jorro-Aragoneses , Carlos M. Alaíz

Uncertainty quantification in inverse medical imaging tasks with deep learning has received little attention. However, deep models trained on large data sets tend to hallucinate and create artifacts in the reconstructed output that are not…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-21 Max-Heinrich Laves , Malte Tölle , Tobias Ortmaier

This paper provides a tutorial about uncertainty quantification (UQ) for those who have no background but are interested in learning more in this area. It exploits many very simple examples, which are understandable to undergraduates, to…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-10-07 Nan Chen , Stephen Wiggins , Marios Andreou

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

Deep learning models are extensively used in various safety critical applications. Hence these models along with being accurate need to be highly reliable. One way of achieving this is by quantifying uncertainty. Bayesian methods for UQ…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-06 Swaroop Bhandary K , Nico Hochgeschwender , Paul Plöger , Frank Kirchner , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki