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Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Learning to disentangle and represent factors of variation in data is an important problem in AI. While many advances have been made to learn these representations, it is still unclear how to quantify disentanglement. While several metrics…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-10 Marc-André Carbonneau , Julian Zaidi , Jonathan Boilard , Ghyslain Gagnon

We introduce a set of resampling-based methods for quantifying uncertainty and statistical precision of evaluation metrics in multilingual and/or multitask NLP benchmarks. We show how experimental variation in performance scores arises from…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Jonne Sälevä , Duygu Ataman , Constantine Lignos

We present a critical survey on the consistency of uncertainty quantification used in deep learning and highlight partial uncertainty coverage and many inconsistencies. We then provide a comprehensive and statistically consistent framework…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , J. Christine Chiu , C. Kevin Yang

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) helps to make trustworthy predictions based on collected observations and uncertain domain knowledge. With increased usage of deep learning in various applications, the need for efficient UQ methods that can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Olga Graf , Pablo Flores , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara

In this paper, we show how uncertainty estimation can be leveraged to enable safety critical image segmentation in autonomous driving, by triggering a fallback behavior if a target accuracy cannot be guaranteed. We introduce a new…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-31 Victor Besnier , David Picard , Alexandre Briot

Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications. A common approach is to use the predictive distribution from Bayesian or approximation models and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 H. Martin Gillis , Isaac Xu , Thomas Trappenberg

Speech classification has attracted increasing attention due to its wide applications, particularly in classifying physical and mental states. However, these tasks are challenging due to the high variability in speech signals. Ensemble…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-25 Bagus Tris Atmaja , Felix Burkhardt

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Learning disentangled representations that correspond to factors of variation in real-world data is critical to interpretable and human-controllable machine learning. Recently, concerns about the viability of learning disentangled…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-14 Rui Shu , Yining Chen , Abhishek Kumar , Stefano Ermon , Ben Poole

Uncertainty estimation in deep learning has become a leading research field in medical image analysis due to the need for safe utilisation of AI algorithms in clinical practice. Most approaches for uncertainty estimation require sampling…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-12 Kaisar Kushibar , Víctor Manuel Campello , Lidia Garrucho Moras , Akis Linardos , Petia Radeva , Karim Lekadir

Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process. Mean-variance estimation networks can learn this type of uncertainty but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Jiaxiang Yi , Miguel A. Bessa

In this work we aim to obtain computationally-efficient uncertainty estimates with deep networks. For this, we propose a modified knowledge distillation procedure that achieves state-of-the-art uncertainty estimates both for in and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-14 Erik Englesson , Hossein Azizpour

Supervised machine learning and predictive models have achieved an impressive standard today, enabling us to answer questions that were inconceivable a few years ago. Besides these successes, it becomes clear, that beyond pure prediction,…

Scientific imaging problems are often severely ill-posed, and hence have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Accurately quantifying the uncertainty in the solutions to such problems is therefore critical for the rigorous interpretation of…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-22 Julian Tachella , Marcelo Pereyra

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

The use of high-dimensional regression techniques from machine learning has significantly improved the quantitative accuracy of interatomic potentials. Atomic simulations can now plausibly target quantitative predictions in a variety of…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-03-04 Danny Perez , Aparna P. A. Subramanyam , Ivan Maliyov , Thomas D. Swinburne

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley