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We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular class of Bayesian nonparametric models, but its training can be computationally burdensome for massive training datasets. While there has been notable work on scaling up these models for big data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-16 Kevin Li , Simon Mak

Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-16 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

We introduce NeuralSurv, the first deep survival model to incorporate Bayesian uncertainty quantification. Our non-parametric, architecture-agnostic framework captures time-varying covariate-risk relationships in continuous time via a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Mélodie Monod , Alessandro Micheli , Samir Bhatt

The study presents a novel approach for stochastic nonlinear model updating in structural dynamics, employing a Bayesian framework integrated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for parameter estimation by using an approximated…

For large model spaces, the potential entrapment of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) based methods with spike-and-slab priors poses significant challenges in posterior computation in regression models. On the other hand, maximum a posteriori…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Shamriddha De , Joyee Ghosh

We present a novel approach for the analysis of multivariate case-control georeferenced data using Bayesian inference in the context of disease mapping, where the spatial distribution of different types of cancers is analyzed. Extending…

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

Nonparametric varying coefficient (NVC) models are useful for modeling time-varying effects on responses that are measured repeatedly for the same subjects. When the number of covariates is moderate or large, it is desirable to perform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Ray Bai , Mary R. Boland , Yong Chen

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

This paper extends safety guarantees for multi-task Bayesian optimization with uncertain co-regionalization matrices from intrinsic co-regionalization models to linear models of co-regionalization. The latter allows for more flexible…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Jannis Lübsen , Annika Eichler

We develop a Bayesian graphical modeling framework for functional data for correlated multivariate random variables observed over a continuous domain. Our method leads to graphical Markov models for functional data which allows the graphs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-12 Lin Zhang , Veera Baladandayuthapani , Quinton Neville , Karina Quevedo , Jeffrey S. Morris

In the analysis of survival outcome supplemented with both clinical information and high-dimensional gene expression data, use of the traditional Cox proportional hazards model (1972) fails to meet some emerging needs in biomedical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-26 Jean Claude Utazirubanda , Tomas Leon , Papa Ngom

Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

In this paper, a Bayesian semiparametric copula approach is used to model the underlying multivariate distribution $F_{true}$. First, the Dirichlet process is constructed on the unknown marginal distributions of $F_{true}$. Then a Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-05 Luai Al-Labadi , Forough Fazeli Asl , Zahra Saberi

In many real problems, dependence structures more general than exchangeability are required. For instance, in some settings partial exchangeability is a more reasonable assumption. For this reason, vectors of dependent Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-20 Alan Riva Palacio , Fabrizio Leisen

Copula models have become one of the most widely used tools in the applied modelling of multivariate data. Similarly, Bayesian methods are increasingly used to obtain efficient likelihood-based inference. However, to date, there has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-13 Michael Stanley Smith

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a powerful tool for nonparametric regression, but its application in a fully Bayesian fashion in high-dimensional settings is hindered by two primary challenges: the difficulty of variable selection and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Peter Knaus