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This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

Wide heterogeneity exists in cancer patients' survival, ranging from a few months to several decades. To accurately predict clinical outcomes, it is vital to build an accurate predictive model that relates patients' molecular profiles with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Yaohua Rong , Sihai Dave Zhao , Xia Zheng , Yi Li

Bayesian paradigm takes advantage of well fitting complicated survival models and feasible computing in survival analysis owing to the superiority in tackling the complex censoring scheme, compared with the frequentist paradigm. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-10 Chong Zhong , Zhihua Ma , Junshan Shen , Catherine Liu

In the analysis of survival data, it is usually assumed that any unit will experience the event of interest if it is observed for a sufficient long time. However, one can explicitly assume that an unknown proportion of the population under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-15 Vincent Bremhorst , Philippe Lambert

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

This paper advocates proximal Markov Chain Monte Carlo (ProxMCMC) as a flexible and general Bayesian inference framework for constrained or regularized estimation. Originally introduced in the Bayesian imaging literature, ProxMCMC employs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Xinkai Zhou , Qiang Heng , Eric C. Chi , Hua Zhou

Due to the ease of modern data collection, applied statisticians often have access to a large set of covariates that they wish to relate to some observed outcome. Generalized linear models (GLMs) offer a particularly interpretable framework…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Brian L. Trippe , Jonathan H. Huggins , Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick

Modeling binary and categorical data is one of the most commonly encountered tasks of applied statisticians and econometricians. While Bayesian methods in this context have been available for decades now, they often require a high level of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Gregor Zens , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Helga Wagner

Gaussian graphical models have been used to study intrinsic dependence among several variables, but the Gaussianity assumption may be restrictive in many applications. A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

For statistical inference on regression models with a diverging number of covariates, the existing literature typically makes sparsity assumptions on the inverse of the Fisher information matrix. Such assumptions, however, are often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-08 Lu Xia , Bin Nan , Yi Li

Multivariate time series (MTS) data often include a heterogeneous mix of non-Gaussian distributional features (asymmetry, multimodality, heavy tails) and data types (continuous and discrete variables). Traditional MTS methods based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 John Zito , Daniel R. Kowal

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

We propose an iterative method to safely learn the unmodeled dynamics of a nonlinear system using Bayesian Gaussian process (GP) models with polynomial kernel functions. The method maintains safety by ensuring that the system state stays…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-03 Alex Devonport , He Yin , Murat Arcak

Survival analysis is an important area of medical research, yet existing models often struggle to balance simplicity with flexibility. Simple models require minimal adjustments but come with strong assumptions, while more flexible models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Peter Knaus , Daniel Winkler , Sebastian F. Schoppmann , Gerd Jomrich

This article addresses the problem of efficient Bayesian inference in dynamic systems using particle methods and makes a number of contributions. First, we develop a correlated pseudo-marginal (CPM) approach for Bayesian inference in state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-22 P. Choppala , D. Gunawan , J. Chen , M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn

In image reconstruction, an accurate quantification of uncertainty is of great importance for informed decision making. Here, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems can be used: the image is represented through a random function that…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-24 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

Analyses of time to event datasets have been invariably based on the Cox proportional hazards model (PHM). Reformulations of the PHM as a Poisson Generalized Additive Model (GAM) or as a Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Christos Argyropoulos , Hamza Mir , Maria-Eleni Roumelioti , Pablo Garcia

We propose to integrate weapon system features (such as weapon system manufacturer, deployment time and location, storage time and location, etc.) into a parameterized Cox-Weibull [1] reliability model via a neural network, like DeepSurv…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Michael Potter , Benny Cheng