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We consider prediction with expert advice for strongly convex and bounded losses, and investigate trade-offs between regret and "variance" (i.e., squared difference of learner's predictions and best expert predictions). With $K$ experts,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

In this paper, we develop a systematic theory for high dimensional analysis of variance in multivariate linear regression, where the dimension and the number of coefficients can both grow with the sample size. We propose a new \emph{U}~type…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-12 Zhipeng Lou , Xianyang Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Real-world multiobjective optimization problems usually involve conflicting objectives that change over time, which requires the optimization algorithms to quickly track the Pareto optimal front (POF) when the environment changes. In recent…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-02-25 Dejun Xu , Min Jiang , Weizhen Hu , Shaozi Li , Renhu Pan , Gary G. Yen

Multiclass probability estimation is the problem of estimating conditional probabilities of a data point belonging to a class given its covariate information. It has broad applications in statistical analysis and data science. Recently a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Liyun Zeng , Hao Helen Zhang

The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-07 Guido Cavraro , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Joshua Comden , Andrey Bernstein

We consider the online control problem with an unknown linear dynamical system in the presence of adversarial perturbations and adversarial convex loss functions. Although the problem is widely studied in model-based control, it remains…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-12 Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

This letter studies the problem of online multi-step-ahead prediction for unknown linear stochastic systems. Using conditional distribution theory, we derive an optimal parameterization of the prediction policy as a linear function of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

Two recent papers on prediction of chaotic systems, one on multi-view embedding1 , and the second on prediction in projection2 provide empirical evidence to support particular prediction methods for chaotic systems. Multi-view embedding1 is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-14 M. LuValle

In this paper we propose a multivariate ordinal regression model which allows the joint modeling of three-dimensional panel data containing both repeated and multiple measurements for a collection of subjects. This is achieved by a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Laura Vana-Gür

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Simple exponential smoothing is widely used in forecasting economic time series. This is because it is quick to compute and it generally delivers accurate forecasts. On the other hand, its multivariate version has received little attention…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Federico Poloni , Giacomo Sbrana

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data is important in many engineering and scientific applications. Recent state-of-the-art works ignore the inter-relations between variates, using their model on each variate independently.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Liran Nochumsohn , Hedi Zisling , Omri Azencot

Time delay estimation plays a critical role in control, stabilization and state estimation of many practical system with time delay. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate delay for discrete time linear multiple-input…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-08 Iman Shafikhani , Hazhar Sufi Karimi , Mohammad Mohammadian , Amin Ramezani , Hamid Reza Momeni

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

In the multidimensional setting, we consider the errors-in-variables model. We aim at estimating the unknown nonparametric multivariate regression function with errors in the covariates. We devise an adaptive estimator based on projection…

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

We consider a general online resource allocation model with bandit feedback and time-varying demands. While online resource allocation has been well studied in the literature, most existing works make the strong assumption that the demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Lixing Lyu , Wang Chi Cheung

Many techniques for online optimization problems involve making decisions based solely on presently available information: fewer works take advantage of potential predictions. In this paper, we discuss the problem of online convex…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-02-04 Robert Ravier , Vahid Tarokh