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The regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that can be used to identify and estimate the causal effect of a treatment using observational data. In an RDD, a pre-specified rule is used for treatment assignment,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-05 Panayiota Constantinou , Aidan G. O'Keeffe

Matched case-control studies are commonly employed in epidemiological research for their convenience and efficiency. Analysis of secondary outcomes can yield valuable insights into biological pathways and help identify genetic variants of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Shanshan Liu , Guoqing Diao

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design which emulates a randomised study by exploiting situations where treatment is assigned according to a continuous variable as is common in many drug treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-28 Sara Geneletti , Federico Ricciardi , Aidan O'Keeffe , Gianluca Baio

Ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimators for a linear model are very sensitive to unusual values in the design space or outliers among y values. Even one single atypical value may have a large effect on the parameter estimates. This article…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-28 Chun Yu , Weixin Yao , Xue Bai

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

I propose a novel argument to identify economically interpretable intertemporal treatment effects in dynamic regression discontinuity designs (RDDs). Specifically, I develop a dynamic potential outcomes model and reformulate two assumptions…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-28 Francesco Ruggieri

Continual Learning trains models on a stream of data, with the aim of learning new information without forgetting previous knowledge. Given the dynamic nature of such environments, explaining the predictions of these models can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Andrea Cossu , Francesco Spinnato , Riccardo Guidotti , Davide Bacciu

The regression discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the causal effects of a treatment by exploiting naturally occurring treatment rules. It can be applied in any context where a particular treatment or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-10 Sara Geneletti , Aidan G. O'Keeffe , Linda D. Sharples , Sylvia Richardson , Gianluca Baio

We consider the procedure proposed by Bhandari et al. (2009) in the context of two-treatment clinical trials, with the objective of minimizing the applications of the less effective drug to the least number of patients. Our focus is on an…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-30 Sampurna Kundu , Jayant Jha , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Symbolic regression searches for analytic expressions that accurately describe studied phenomena. The main attraction of this approach is that it returns an interpretable model that can be insightful to users. Historically, the majority of…

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. The standard…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-06-18 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

Predictive Process Monitoring is a branch of process mining that aims to predict the outcome of an ongoing process. Recently, it leveraged machine-and-deep learning architectures. In this paper, we extend our prior LLM-based Predictive…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Alessandro Padella , Massimiliano de Leoni , Marlon Dumas

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression models. First, we present main limit theory results for high dimensional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-01 Christis Katsouris

Real-time information processing applications such as those enabling a more intelligent infrastructure are increasingly focused on analyzing privacy-sensitive data obtained from individuals. To produce accurate statistics about the habits…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-03-06 Jerome Le Ny

The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-24 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Modern clinical trials and cohort studies gather low-cost data on all participants but may have limited resources to assess expensive exposures such as biomarkers or genomic data. When interest lies in associations involving expensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Yunbi Nam , Nathan I. Shapiro , Eric P. Schmidt , Wesley H. Self , Ran Tao , Jonathan S. Schildcrout

This paper presents new results concerning the observer design for wide classes of nonlinear systems with both sampled and delayed measurements. By using a small gain approach we provide sufficient conditions, which involve both the delay…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-07-05 Tarek Ahmed-Ali , Iasson Karafyllis , Francoise Lamnabhi-Lagarrigue

We address the problem of learning a decision policy from observational data of past decisions in contexts with features and associated outcomes. The past policy maybe unknown and in safety-critical applications, such as medical decision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-04 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Peter Stoica

In this paper the regression discontinuity design is adapted to the survival analysis setting with right-censored data, studied in an intensity based counting process framework. In particular, a local polynomial regression version of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-07 Emil Aas Stoltenberg