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Monte Carlo algorithms simulate some prescribed number of samples, taking some random real time to complete the computations necessary. This work considers the converse: to impose a real-time budget on the computation, which results in the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Lawrence M. Murray , Sumeetpal Singh , Anthony Lee

An introduction to the use of linchpin variables in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is provided. Before the widespread adoption of MCMC methods, conditional sampling using linchpin variables was essentially the only practical approach for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Dootika Vats , Felipe Acosta , Mark L. Huber , Galin L. Jones

We present a new application and covering number bound for the framework of "Machine Learning with Operational Costs (MLOC)," which is an exploratory form of decision theory. The MLOC framework incorporates knowledge about how a predictive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-03-14 Theja Tulabandhula , Cynthia Rudin

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a premier Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for continuous target distributions. Its full potential can only be unleashed when its problem-dependent hyperparameters are tuned well. The adaptation of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-05-10 Pavel Sountsov , Matt D. Hoffman

The data augmentation (DA) algorithms are popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms often used for sampling from intractable probability distributions. This review article comprehensively surveys DA MCMC algorithms, highlighting…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-06-18 Vivekananda Roy , Kshitij Khare , James P. Hobert

Bayesian reasoning in linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) is challenging and often requires advanced sampling techniques like Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A common approach is to write the model in a probabilistic programming language…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Jinlin Lai , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

This work systematically compares parallel implementations of consistent (asymptotically unbiased) Bayesian deep learning algorithms: sequential Monte Carlo sampler (SMC$_\parallel$) or Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC$_\parallel$). We…

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is the predominant tool used in Bayesian parameter estimation for hierarchical models. When the model expands due to an increasing number of hierarchical levels, number of groups at a particular level, or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-22 Will Landau , Jarad Niemi

In this paper, we consider the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for random sampling of combinatorial objects. The running time of such an algorithm depends on the total mixing time of the underlying Markov chain and is unknown in…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2016-09-15 Steffen Rechner , Annabell Berger

We introduce \textit{Policy Guided Monte Carlo} (PGMC), a computational framework using reinforcement learning to improve Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. The methodology is generally applicable, unbiased and opens up a new path to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-12-12 Troels Arnfred Bojesen

We introduce a new algorithm for approximate inference that combines reparametrization, Markov chain Monte Carlo and variational methods. We construct a very flexible implicit variational distribution synthesized by an arbitrary Markov…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-07 Michalis K. Titsias

In recent years, pattern analysis plays an important role in data mining and recognition, and many variants have been proposed to handle complicated scenarios. In the literature, it has been quite familiar with high dimensionality of data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-09 Miao Cheng , Zunren Liu , Hongwei Zou , Ah Chung Tsoi

We present a geometrically enhanced Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for networks based on a discrete curvature measure defined on graphs. Specifically, we incorporate the concept of graph Forman curvature into sampling procedures on both…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 John Sigbeku , Emil Saucan , Anthea Monod

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of Multi-Level Markov chain Monte Carlo (ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis-Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-06 Juan Pablo Madrigal-Cianci , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

We consider the theoretical analysis of Multiscale Sampling Methods, which are a new class of gradient-free Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high dimensional inverse differential equation problems. A detailed presentation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-06 Lucas Seiffert , Felipe Pereira

Monte Carlo (MC) techniques are often used to estimate integrals of a multivariate function using randomly generated samples of the function. In light of the increasing interest in uncertainty quantification and robust design applications…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-08-25 Brendan Tracey , David Wolpert , Juan J. Alonso

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) has transformed Bayesian model inference over the past three decades: mainly because of this, Bayesian inference is now a workhorse of applied scientists. Under general conditions, MCMC sampling converges…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Ben Lambert , Aki Vehtari

Convergence rate analysis for general state-space Markov chains is fundamentally important in areas such as Markov chain Monte Carlo and algorithmic analysis (for computing explicit convergence bounds). This problem, however, is notoriously…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Yanlin Qu , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are foundational algorithms for Bayesian inference and probabilistic modeling. However, most MCMC algorithms are inherently sequential and their time complexity scales linearly with the sequence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-03 David M. Zoltowski , Skyler Wu , Xavier Gonzalez , Leo Kozachkov , Scott W. Linderman

Many highly developed Monte Carlo tools for the evaluation of cross sections based on tree matrix elements exist and are used by experimental collaborations in high energy physics. As the evaluation of one-loop matrix elements has recently…