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Particle filters have, in recent years, been found to perform well in highly nonlinear problems as well as in estimation of parameters. However, there is still the problem of particle degeneracy in particle filters which has led to the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-08 David Angwenyi

Many recent advances in sequential assimilation of data into nonlinear high-dimensional models are modifications to particle filters which employ efficient searches of a high-dimensional state space. In this work, we present a complementary…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-12-10 John Maclean , Elaine T Spiller

The success of the ensemble Kalman filter has triggered a strong interest in expanding its scope beyond classical state estimation problems. In this paper, we focus on continuous-time data assimilation where the model and measurement errors…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-26 Nikolas Nüsken , Sebastian Reich , Paul J. Rozdeba

Data assimilation plays a crucial role in numerical modeling, enabling the integration of real-world observations into mathematical models to enhance the accuracy and predictive capabilities of simulations. This approach is widely applied…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-08 Alexander Lobbe , Dan Crisan , Oana Lang

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

Online data assimilation in time series models over a large spatial extent is an important problem in both geosciences and robotics. Such models are intrinsically high-dimensional, rendering traditional particle filter algorithms…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-31 Jameson Quinn

This article develops a novel data assimilation methodology, addressing challenges that are common in real-world settings, such as severe sparsity of observations, lack of reliable models, and non-stationarity of the system dynamics. These…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-11-05 David J. Abers , George Hripcsak , Lena Mamykina , Melike Sirlanci , Esteban G. Tabak

We develop an algebraic framework for sequential data assimilation of partially observed dynamical systems. In this framework, Bayesian data assimilation is embedded in a non-abelian operator algebra, which provides a representation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-29 David Freeman , Dimitrios Giannakis , Brian Mintz , Abbas Ourmazd , Joanna Slawinska

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

In this work, we combine a stochastic model reduction with a particle filter augmented with tempering and jittering, and apply the combined algorithm to a damped and forced incompressible 2D Euler dynamics defined on a simply connected…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-25 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather prediction research is growing rapidly and has shown to be competitive with the advanced dynamic numerical weather prediction models. However, research combining AI-based weather prediction models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-16 Shunji Kotsuki , Kenta Shiraishi , Atsushi Okazaki

Implicit particle filtering is a sequential Monte Carlo method for data assim- ilation, designed to keep the number of particles manageable by focussing attention on regions of large probability. These regions are found by min- imizing, for…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-05-30 Matthias Morzfeld , Alexandre J. Chorin

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We present a new continuous data assimilation algorithm based on ideas that have been developed for designing finite-dimensional feedback controls for dissipative dynamical systems, in particular, in the context of the incompressible…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2015-06-15 Abderrahim Azouani , Eric Olson , Edriss S. Titi

We design a primal-dual stabilized finite element method for the numerical approximation of a data assimilation problem subject to the acoustic wave equation. For the forward problem, piecewise affine, continuous, finite element functions…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-05-10 Erik Burman , Ali Feizmohammadi , Lauri Oksanen

When tracking a large number of targets, it is often computationally expensive to represent the full joint distribution over target states. In cases where the targets move independently, each target can instead be tracked with a separate…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Hedvig Sidenbladh

Many dynamical systems are subjected to stochastic influences, such as random excitations, noise, and unmodeled behavior. Tracking the system's state and parameters based on a physical model is a common task for which filtering algorithms,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-03 Jan Grashorn , Matteo Broggi , Ludovic Chamoin , Michael Beer

Data assimilation leads naturally to a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior probability distribution of the system state, given the observations, plays a central conceptual role. The aim of this paper is to use this Bayesian…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-01-01 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

In this paper we combine the non-linear filtering capabilities of particle filters with the transdimensional inference of the reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo method for a data assimilation methodology over dynamic problems with…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-03-27 Márk Somogyvári , Sebastian Reich

We consider the problem of conditioning a geological process-based computer simulation, which produces basin models by simulating transport and deposition of sediments, to data. Emphasising uncertainty quantification, we frame this as a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-22 Jacob Skauvold , Jo Eidsvik