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Data assimilation (DA) addresses the problem of sequentially estimating the state of a dynamical system from noisy and incomplete observations. In this work, we employ a diffusion model as a world model to simulate and predict the system's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Lifu Wei , Yinuo Ren , Naichen Shi , Yiping Lu

Data assimilation methodologies are designed to incorporate noisy observations of a physical system into an underlying model in order to infer the properties of the state of the system. Filters refer to a class of data assimilation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-08-06 C. E. A. Brett , K. F. Lam , K. J. H. Law , D. S. McCormick , M. R. Scott , A. M. Stuart

Inferring the state and unknown parameters of a network of coupled oscillators is of utmost importance. This task is made harder when only partial and noisy observations are available, which is a typical scenario in realistic…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2025-04-07 Lauren D. Smith , Georg A. Gottwald

We present a new adaptive particle-based data assimilation scheme for cryospheric applications that leverages promising developments in importance sampling. The proposed approach seeks to combine some of the advantages of two widely used…

The use of data assimilation for the merging of observed data with dynamical models is becoming standard in modern physics. If a parametric model is known, methods such as Kalman filtering have been developed for this purpose. If no model…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-01-17 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

This paper presents the construction of a particle filter, which incorporates elements inspired by genetic algorithms, in order to achieve accelerated adaptation of the estimated posterior distribution to changes in model parameters.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-15 Karol Gellert , Erik Schlögl

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

Particle filters contain the promise of fully nonlinear data assimilation. They have been applied in numerous science areas, but their application to the geosciences has been limited due to their inefficiency in high-dimensional systems in…

Data assimilation is a core component of numerical weather prediction systems. The large quantity of data processed during assimilation requires the computation to be distributed across increasingly many compute nodes, yet existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Oscar Key , So Takao , Daniel Giles , Marc Peter Deisenroth

In the past few decades, the development of fluorescent technologies and microscopic techniques has greatly improved scientists' ability to observe real-time single-cell activities. In this paper, we consider the filtering problem associate…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-07-27 Zhou Fang , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Implicit particle filters for data assimilation update the particles by first choosing probabilities and then looking for particle locations that assume them, guiding the particles one by one to the high probability domain. We provide a…

数值分析 · 数学 2010-05-24 Alexandre J. Chorin , Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu

Traditional data assimilation uses information obtained from the propagation of one physics-driven model and combines it with information derived from real-world observations in order to obtain a better estimate of the truth of some natural…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-10-24 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations is a ubiquitous problem in a large number of applications, such as probabilistic weather forecasting and prediction of epidemics. Particle filters are a widely…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-21 E. Calvello , J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , P. Monmarché , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

Data assimilation is the task of combining mathematical models with observational data. From a mathematical perspective data assimilation leads to Bayesian inference problems which can be formulated in terms of Feynman-Kac formulae. In this…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-07-15 Yuan Cheng , Sebastian Reich

Assimilation of continuously streamed monitored data is an essential component of a digital twin; the assimilated data are used to ensure the digital twin is a true representation of the monitored system. One way this is achieved is by…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Rebecca Ward , Ruchi Choudhary , Alastair Gregory , Melanie Jans-Singh , Mark Girolami

Data assimilation is the process to fuse information from priors, observations of nature, and numerical models, in order to obtain best estimates of the parameters or state of a physical system of interest. Presence of large errors in some…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-11-06 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu , Michael Ng , Elias Nino-Ruiz

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

We show that modifying a Bayesian data assimilation scheme by incorporating kinematically-consistent displacement corrections produces a scheme that is demonstrably better at estimating partially observed state vectors in a setting where…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-12-06 W. Steven Rosenthal , Shankar C. Venkataramani , Arthur J. Mariano , Juan M. Restrepo

In this study, two classes of methods including statistical and variational data assimilation algorithms will be described. In statistical methods, the model state is updated sequentially based on the previous estimate. Variational methods,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-25 Loc Luong