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Existing methods for quantifying predictive uncertainty in neural networks are either computationally intractable for large language models or require access to training data that is typically unavailable. We derive a lightweight…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Nils Grünefeld , Jes Frellsen , Christian Hardmeier

Analysis of brain connectivity is important for understanding how information is processed by the brain. We propose a novel Bayesian vector autoregression (VAR) hierarchical model for analyzing brain connectivity in a resting-state fMRI…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Bertil Wegmann , Anders Lundquist , Anders Eklund , Mattias Villani

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

A lot of effort is currently invested in safeguarding autonomous driving systems, which heavily rely on deep neural networks for computer vision. We investigate the coupling of different neural network calibration measures with a special…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 Dominik Werner Wolf , Prasannavenkatesh Balaji , Alexander Braun , Markus Ulrich

A wide range of systems exhibit high dimensional incomplete data. Accurate estimation of the missing data is often desired, and is crucial for many downstream analyses. Many state-of-the-art recovery methods involve supervised learning…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-03-15 Adrian V. Dalca , John Guttag , Mert R. Sabuncu

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

Covariance matrix estimation concerns the problem of estimating the covariance matrix from a collection of samples, which is of extreme importance in many applications. Classical results have shown that $O(n)$ samples are sufficient to…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-03-19 Wei Cui , Xu Zhang , Yulong Liu

Covariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform graph convolutions on the covariance matrix of input data to leverage correlation information as pairwise connections. They have achieved success in a multitude of applications such as neuroscience,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Andrea Cavallo , Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi

This manuscript presents an approach to perform generalized linear regression with multiple high dimensional covariance matrices as the outcome. Model parameters are proposed to be estimated by maximizing a pseudo-likelihood. When the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-28 Yi Zhao , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo

Statistical inference is considered for variables of interest, called primary variables, when auxiliary variables are observed along with the primary variables. We consider the setting of incomplete data analysis, where some primary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-27 Shinpei Imori , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Parameter inference with an estimated covariance matrix systematically loses information due to the remaining uncertainty of the covariance matrix. Here, we quantify this loss of precision and develop a framework to hypothetically restore…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2017-03-16 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

We aim to provably complete a sparse and highly-missing tensor in the presence of covariate information along tensor modes. Our motivation comes from online advertising where users click-through-rates (CTR) on ads over various devices form…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-08 Hilda S Ibriga , Will Wei Sun

Inferring the connectivity of neural circuits from incomplete observations is a fundamental challenge in neuroscience. We present a covariance-based method for estimating the weight matrix of a recurrent neural network from sparse, partial…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-03-20 Quilee Simeon

We consider the problem of quantifying the quality of a model selection problem for a graphical model. We discuss this by formulating the problem as a detection problem. Model selection problems usually minimize a distance between the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-10-19 Navid Tafaghodi Khajavi , Anthony Kuh

We develop a method for estimating well-conditioned and sparse covariance and inverse covariance matrices from a sample of vectors drawn from a sub-gaussian distribution in high dimensional setting. The proposed estimators are obtained by…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-21 Ashwini Maurya

Missing data arises when certain values are not recorded or observed for variables of interest. However, most of the statistical theory assume complete data availability. To address incomplete databases, one approach is to fill the gaps…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-15 Luis Alejandro Masmela-Caita , Thais Paiva Galletti , Marcos Oliveira Prates

Besides the well-known effect of autocorrelations in time series of Monte Carlo simulation data resulting from the underlying Markov process, using the same data pool for computing various estimates entails additional cross correlations.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-11-20 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

Combined inference for heterogeneous high-dimensional data is critical in modern biology, where clinical and various kinds of molecular data may be available from a single study. Classical genetic association studies regress a single…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Hélène Ruffieux , Anthony C. Davison , Jörg Hager , Irina Irincheeva

CoVariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform convolutions on the graph determined by the covariance matrix of the data, which enables expressive and stable covariance-based learning. However, covariance matrices are typically dense, fail to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Andrea Cavallo , Samuel Rey , Antonio G. Marques , Elvin Isufi

Seemingly unrelated regression is a natural framework for regressing multiple correlated responses on multiple predictors. The model is very flexible, with multiple linear regression and covariance selection models being special cases.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Yunfan Li , Jyotishka Datta , Bruce A. Craig , Anindya Bhadra