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The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a mode of interannual variability in the coupled equatorial ocean/atmosphere Pacific. El Ni\~no describes a state in which sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific increase and upwelling…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-07-12 John Guckenheimer , Andrew Roberts , Axel Timmermann , Henk Dijkstra

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a mode of interannual variability in the coupled equatorial Pacific coupled atmosphere/ocean system. El Ni\~no describes a state in which sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific increase…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-10-10 John Guckenheimer , Axel Timmermann , Henk Dijkstra , Andrew Roberts

El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth's strongest source of interannual climate variability. Although its center of action is in the tropical Pacific, it has significant influences on the climate at the planetary scale. ENSO is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-05 Gian Luca Eusebi Borzelli , Cosimo Enrico Carniel , Sandro Carniel , Mauro Sclavo

The correlation between increased Sahel rainfall and reduced Saharan surface pressure is well established in observations and global climate models, and has been used to imply that increased Sahel rainfall is caused by a stronger shallow…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Ravi Shekhar , William R. Boos

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) are dominant drivers of boreal summer precipitation variability in tropical and subtropical regions. Although the regional precipitation dynamics in these two regions have…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-05-15 Felix Strnad , Kieran M. R. Hunt , Niklas Boers , Bedartha Goswami

Tropical cyclones (TCs), including hurricanes and typhoons, cause significant property damage and result in fatalities, making it crucial to understand the factors driving extreme TCs. The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences TC…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-10-10 Suchit Basineni

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Depending on the region of maximal warming,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-29 J. Ludescher , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) and pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean with a period of 2-7 years. As the largest mode of interannual variability on Earth, ENSO shapes…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 PJ Tuckman , Da Yang

El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) diversity is characterized based on the longitudinal location of maximum sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and amplitude in the tropical Pacific, as Central Pacific (CP) events are typically…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-05-15 Jakob Schlör , Felix Strnad , Antonietta Capotondi , Bedartha Goswami

We begin by providing observational evidence that the probability of encountering very high and very low annual tropical rainfall has increased significantly in the recent decade (1998-present) as compared to the preceding warming era…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-04-15 Jai Sukhatme , V. Venugopal

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli

This paper studies the chaotic behavior of hydrosphere and its influence on global weather and climate. We give mathematical arguments for the sea surface temperature (SST) to be unpredictable over the global ocean. The impact of SST…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-01-04 Marat Akhmet , Mehmet Onur Fen , Ejaily Milad Alejaily

Sea surface temperature (SST) variability plays a key role in the global weather and climate system, with phenomena such as El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation regarded as a major source of interannual climate variability at the global scale.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-02-22 John Taylor , Ming Feng

The El Ni\~no phenomenon, synonymously El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), is an anomalous climatic oscillation in the Equatorial Pacific that occurs once every 3-8 years. It affects the earth's climate on a global scale. Whether it is a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Debabrata Panja , Gerrit Burgers

Modeling globally averaged information on climate forcing from the land surface temperature data, the sea surface temperatures (SST) and the empirically determined relationship between the changes in SST and the turbulent diffusion of heat…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-07-20 Stjepan Marčelja

A flexible spatio-temporal model is implemented to analyse extreme extra-tropical cyclones objectively identified over the Atlantic and Europe in 6-hourly re-analyses from 1979-2009. Spatial variation in the extremal properties of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-01-27 Theodoros Economou , David B. Stephenson , Christopher A. T. Ferro

Tropical cyclone and sea surface temperature data have been used in several studies to forecast the total number of hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin. Sea surface temperature (SST) and latent heat flux (LHF) are correlated with tropical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-10 Marcela Alfaro Córdoba , Montserrat Fuentes , Joseph Guinness , Lian Xie

Satellite and ground-based observations are used to explore the composite oceanic - atmospheric link known as the El Ni\~no/La Ni\~na Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, which is closely associated with extreme weather events (e.g. heat…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-08-22 Costas A. Varotsos , Arthur P. Cracknell

The predictability of fields at the ocean surface in the northern Gulf of Mexico (GoM) is investigated through five ensembles of regional ocean simulations between 2014 and 2016. The ensembles explore two horizontal resolutions and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-08 Daoxun Sun , Annalisa Bracco , Guangpeng Liu
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