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This article proposes a method for measuring the latent risks involved in the recovery process of non performing loans in financial institutions and business firms that deal with collection and recovery processes. To that end, we apply the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

The widespread use of machine learning in credit scoring has brought significant advancements in risk assessment and decision-making. However, it has also raised concerns about potential biases, discrimination, and lack of transparency in…

We use machine learning techniques to investigate whether it is possible to replicate the behavior of bank managers who assess the risk of commercial loans made by a large commercial US bank. Even though a typical bank already relies on an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-10 Matthew Harding , Gabriel F. R. Vasconcelos

Predictive models that are developed in a regulated industry or a regulated application, like determination of credit worthiness, must be interpretable and rational (e.g., meaningful improvements in basic credit behavior must result in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Bob Vanderheyden , Jennifer Priestley

We present a novel approach for the bank's decision problem, incorporating Limited Liability in the objective function. Accordingly, we consider continuous time models, with and without Limited Liability. We compare the solutions of these…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-23 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The performance of a business is chiefly determined by the business model adopted and its environment of operation. This paper emphasizes on the integration of Web 2.0 services like social networking to your existing business, which helps…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2014-10-15 Abhinov Balagoni , Vinay Kumar Chavala

A macroeconomic model based on the economic variables (i) assets, (ii) leverage (defined as debt over asset) and (iii) trust (defined as the maximum sustainable leverage) is proposed to investigate the role of credit in the dynamics of…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-08-24 Jeroen Rozendaal , Yannick Malevergne , Didier Sornette

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

In this paper, we analyze dynamic programming as a novel approach to solve the problem of maximizing the profits of a bank. The mathematical model of the problem and the description of a bank's work is described in this paper. The problem…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-11-04 Oleg Malafeyev , Achal Awasthi

We develop a structural econometric model to capture the decision dynamics of human evaluators on an online micro-lending platform, and estimate the model parameters using a real-world dataset. We find two types of biases in gender,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Xiyang Hu , Yan Huang , Beibei Li , Tian Lu

Machine learning models are increasingly used in a wide variety of financial settings. The difficulty of understanding the inner workings of these systems, combined with their wide applicability, has the potential to lead to significant new…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-10 Samuel N. Cohen , Derek Snow , Lukasz Szpruch

The retail banking services are one of the pillars of the modern economic growth. However, the evolution of the client's habits in modern societies and the recent European regulations promoting more competition mean the retail banks will…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-27 Jeremy Charlier

Return-risk models are the two pillars of modern portfolio theory, which are widely used to make decisions in choosing the loan portfolio of a bank. Banks and other financial institutions are subjected to limited liability protection.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In this paper, we propose a method that provides a useful technique to compare relationship between risks involved that takes customer become defaulter and debt collection process that might make this defaulter recovered. Through estimation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-26 Emmanuel Alanis , Sudheer Chava , Agam Shah

Aircraft performance models play a key role in airline operations, especially in planning a fuel-efficient flight. In practice, manufacturers provide guidelines which are slightly modified throughout the aircraft life cycle via the tuning…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-05 Florent Dewez , Benjamin Guedj , Vincent Vandewalle

The process of contagiousness spread modelling is well-known in epidemiology. However, the application of spread modelling to banking market is quite recent. In this work, we present a system of ordinary differential equations, simulating…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-19 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

We introduce a binary regression accounting-based model for bankruptcy prediction of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The main advantage of the model lies in its predictive performance in identifying defaulted SMEs. Another advantage,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-11 Raffaella Calabrese , Giampiero Marra , Silvia Angela Osmetti

For any business, planning is a continuous process, and typically business-owners focus on making both long-term planning aligned with a particular strategy as well as short-term planning that accommodates the dynamic market situations. An…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-01-25 Amita Gajewar , Gagan Bansal