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This paper investigates the performance of Echo State Networks (ESNs) for univariate time series forecasting using a subset of the M4 Forecasting Competition dataset. Focusing on monthly and quarterly time series, we evaluate whether a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Alexander Häußer

Traditionally, during the monsoon season, more rainfall is received along the Western Ghats, the Northern Gangetic plains, the central belt, and northeast India. However, recently, there has been a shift in this canonical monsoon rainfall…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-30 Akshara Satheesh , Rajib Chattopadhyay

Using Lagrangian methods we analyze a 20-year-long estimate of water flux through the Kamchatka Strait in the northern North Pacific based on AVISO velocity field. It sheds new light on the flux pattern and its variability on annual and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-10-10 S. V. Prants , A. G. Andreev , M. Yu. Uleysky , M. V. Budyansky

We study the evolution of continental, zonal and seasonal land temperature anomalies especially in the early 20th century warming (ETCW) period, using principal component analysis (PCA) and reverse arrangement trend analysis. ETCW is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-08-27 Jouni Takalo , Kalevi Mursula

The processes and instabilities occurring at the ocean surface in the northern Gulf of Mexico are investigated with a regional model at submesoscale-permitting horizontal grid resolution (i.e., HR with dx = 1.6 km) over a three-year period,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-05-04 Hao Luo , Annalisa Bracco , Yuley Cardona , Jim C. McWilliams

A configuration of the NCAR WRF-Hydro model was sought using well established data models to guide the initial hydrologic model setup, as well as a seasonal streamflow post-processing by neural networks. Discharge was simulated using an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Richard E. Danielson , Minghong Zhang , Joël Chassé , Will Perrie

The main objective of this article is to study the effect of the moisture on the planetary scale atmospheric circulation over the tropics. The modeling we adopt is the Boussinesq equations coupled with a diffusive equation of humidity and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2011-10-19 Chun-Hsiung Hsia , Chang-Shou Lin , Tian Ma , Shouhong Wang

This study presents the first systematic comparison of the (thermo-)dynamics associated with all major tropical wave types causing rainfall modulation over northern tropical Africa: Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), Equatorial Rossby waves…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-05-23 Andreas Schlueter , Andreas H. Fink , Peter Knippertz

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest driver of year-to-year variations of the global climate and can lead to extreme weather conditions and disasters in various regions around the world. Here, we review two different…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-01-26 J. Ludescher , J. Meng , J. Fan , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

As a result of their important role in weather and the global hydrological cycle, understanding atmospheric rivers' (ARs) connection to synoptic-scale climate patterns and atmospheric dynamics has become increasingly important. In addition…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-16 Kirsten R. Hall , Huiqun Wang , Amir H. Souri , Xiong Liu , Kelly Chance

The space-temporal evaluation to characterize meteorological droughts was based on data accumulated monthly precipitation between 1996-2005 from 20 meteorological stations distributed in the Coello River basin. Data precipitation was…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-03-08 Cruz Roa AF , Miguel Barrios

The seasonality of the tropical meridional circulation evolves differently across different regions, governs the onset and retreat of monsoons and migration of tropical precipitation, thereby influencing agricultural productivity and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-01-07 Wuqiushi Yao , Jianhua Lu , Yimin Liu

Tropical regions may experience periodic extreme precipitation and suffer from associated periodic deluges in a warmer climate. Recent studies conducted small-domain (around 100 km x 100 km) atmospheric model simulations and found that…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-26 Heng Quan , Yi Zhang , Guy Dagan , Stephan Fueglistaler

Considering the interdependencies between water and electricity use is critical for ensuring conservation measures are successful in lowering the net water and electricity use in a city. This water-electricity demand nexus will become even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-26 Renee Obringer , Rohini Kumar , Roshanak Nateghi

Climate change projections for boreal winter precipitation in Tropical America has beenaddressed by statistical downscaling (SD) using the principal component regression with sea-level pressure (SLP) as the predictor variable. The SD model…

The prevailing approaches for ET retrievals are either limited in spatiotemporal coverage or largely influenced by choice of input data or simplified model physics, or a combination thereof. Here, using an independent mass conservation…

The NEMO general circulation ocean model is extended to incorporate three physical processes related to ocean surface waves, namely the surface stress (modified by growth and dissipation of the oceanic wave field), the turbulent kinetic…

The steady response of the stratosphere to a sea surface temperature (SST) forcing is considered in two separate theoretical models. It is first shown that anomalies in SST impose a geopotential anomaly at the tropopause. Solutions to the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-09-11 Jonathan Lin , Kerry Emanuel

In this diagnostic study we analyze changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells by the end of the twenty-first century under the most extreme IPCC5 emission scenario (RCP8.5) as projected by twenty-four coupled climate models…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-03-23 Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Xue Feng , Amilcare Porporato , Shabeh ul Hasson

Variations in zonal surface temperature gradients and zonally asymmetric tropical overturning circulations (Walker circulations) are examined over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized atmospheric general circulation model…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Timothy M. Merlis , Tapio Schneider