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Extreme rainfall in the Indian summer monsoon can be destructive and deadly. Although El Ni\~no/ events in the equatorial Pacific make dry days and whole summers more likely throughout India, their influence on daily extremes is not well…

In a statistical analysis of more than a century of data we find a strong connection between strong warm El Nino winter events and high spring precipitation in a band from Southern England eastwards into Asia. This relationship is an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Geert Jan van Oldenborgh , Gerrit Burgers , Albert Klein Tank

In this work, an analysis of multifractal parameters of daily precipitation series over the Iberian Peninsula was performed in two 30-year periods to explore whether these properties follow any pattern. Fluctuations of precipitation series…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-11-20 J. Gomez-Gomez , R. Carmona-Cabezas , E. Sanchez-Lopez , E. Gutierrez de Rave , F. J. Jimenez-Hornero

Accurate seasonal runoff forecasts are critical for managing California's reservoirs and water supply for millions of its residents. Winter snow accumulation provides a strong source of predictability of snowmelt-based runoff in the spring…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-18 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Michael P. Brenner , Tapio Schneider

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is used to indicate the meteorological drought situation - a negative (or positive) value of SPI would imply a dry (or wet) condition in a region over a period. The climate system is an excellent…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-02-23 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , K Shuvo Bakar , Anirban Chakraborti

The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the most prominent interannual climate phenomena. An early and reliable ENSO forecasting remains a crucial goal, due to its serious implications for economy, society, and ecosystem. Despite…

Extreme events, such as wave-storms, need to be characterized for coastal infrastructure design purposes. Such description should contain information on both the univariate behaviour and the joint-dependence of storm-variables. These two…

This study investigates temporal variability in U.S. climate using harmonic decomposition techniques, specifically Fourier and wavelet transforms. Monthly temperature, precipitation, and drought index data from the National Oceanic and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-13 Thomas Xiao

Quantifying watershed process variability consistently with climate change and ecohydrological dynamics remains a central challenge in hydrology. Stochastic ecohydrology characterizes hydrologic variability through probability distributions…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-03-26 Mark S. Bartlett , Elizabeth Cultra , Nathan Geldner , Amilcare Porporato

Detecting changepoints in functional data has become an important problem as interest in monitoring of climate phenomenon has increased, where the data is functional in nature. The observed data often contains both amplitude ($y$-axis) and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-27 J. Derek Tucker , Drew Yarger

We describe a stochastic variability mechanism which is genuinely internal to the ocean, i.e. not due to fluctuations in atmospheric forcing. % The key ingredient is the existence of closed contours of bottom topography surrounded by a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-05-27 Antoine Venaille , Julien Le Sommer , J. -M. Molines , B. Barnier

A nearly half-cubic hectometer of deep Mediterranean-Sea waters is yearlong sampled with about 3000 high-resolution temperature sensors to study different sources of turbulent waterflows, which are vital for life. Although temperature…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-08 Hans van Haren

The extratropical meridional energy transport in the atmosphere is fundamentally intermittent in nature, having extremes large enough to affect the net seasonal transport. Here, we investigate how these extreme transports are associated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-27 Valerio Lembo , Federico Fabiano , Vera Melinda Galfi , Rune Graversen , Valerio Lucarini , Gabriele Messori

This study investigates the interactions between tides, storm surge, river flow, and power peaking in the microtidal Neretva River estuary, Croatia. Based on the existing NS_Tide tool, the study proposes a new non-stationary harmonic model…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-21 Nino Krvavica , Marta Marija Gržić , Silvia Innocenti , Pascal Matte

We show that the climate phenomena of El Nino and La Nina arise naturally as states of macro-variables when our recent causal feature learning framework (Chalupka 2015, Chalupka 2016) is applied to micro-level measures of zonal wind (ZW)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-31 Krzysztof Chalupka , Tobias Bischoff , Pietro Perona , Frederick Eberhardt

Sea surface height anomalies observed by satellites in 1993--2012 are combined with simulation and observations by surface drifters and Argo floats to study water flow pattern in the Near Strait (NS) connected the Pacific Ocean with the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-10-09 S. V. Prants , A. A. Andreev , M. V. Budyansky , M. Yu. Uleysky

This research quantitatively and qualitatively analyzes the factors responsible for the water level variations in Lake Toba, North Sumatra Province, Indonesia. According to several studies carried out from 1993 to 2020, changes in the water…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-05-20 Hendri Irwandi , Mohammad Syamsu Rosid , Terry Mart

Severe thunderstorms can have devastating impacts. Concurrently high values of convective available potential energy (CAPE) and storm relative helicity (SRH) are known to be conducive to severe weather, so high values of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-31 Erwan Koch , Jonathan Koh , Anthony C. Davison , Chiara Lepore , Michael K. Tippett

In this work, we analysed the satellite-based responses of sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a (chl-a) concentration in the waters of the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) of Cuba to hurricanes that crossed the EEZ between 1998 and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-01-23 Dailé Avila-Alonso , Jan M. Baetens , Rolando Cardenas , Bernard De Baets