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We present Distribution-aware Conformal Prediction (DCP), a unified framework integrating probabilistic predictors like Monte Carlo dropout, deep ensembles, and quantile regression with score-agnostic conformal calibration to produce valid…

We describe a number of strategies for minimizing and calculating accurately the statistical uncertainty in quantum Monte Carlo calculations. We investigate the impact of the sampling algorithm on the efficiency of the variational Monte…

计算物理 · 物理学 2012-02-14 R. M. Lee , G. J. Conduit , N. Nemec , P. Lopez Rios , N. D. Drummond

We study the question of closeness testing for two discrete distributions. More precisely, given samples from two distributions $p$ and $q$ over an $n$-element set, we wish to distinguish whether $p=q$ versus $p$ is at least $\eps$-far from…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2013-08-20 Siu-On Chan , Ilias Diakonikolas , Gregory Valiant , Paul Valiant

We consider a learning problem of identifying a dictionary matrix D (M times N dimension) from a sample set of M dimensional vectors Y = N^{-1/2} DX, where X is a sparse matrix (N times P dimension) in which the density of non-zero entries…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-02-06 Ayaka Sakata , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

We study the averaging-based distributed optimization solvers over random networks. We show a general result on the convergence of such schemes using weight-matrices that are row-stochastic almost surely and column-stochastic in expectation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-06 Adel Aghajan , Behrouz Touri

Recent works have proposed optimal subsampling algorithms to improve computational efficiency in large datasets and to design validation studies in the presence of measurement error. Existing approaches generally fall into two categories:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Jasper B. Yang , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

We study the task of list-decodable linear regression using batches. A batch is called clean if it consists of i.i.d. samples from an unknown linear regression distribution. For a parameter $\alpha \in (0, 1/2)$, an unknown…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Sushrut Karmalkar , Sihan Liu , Thanasis Pittas

Given a sample of size $N$, it is often useful to select a subsample of smaller size $n<N$ to be used for statistical estimation or learning. Such a data selection step is useful to reduce the requirements of data labeling and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-05 Germain Kolossov , Andrea Montanari , Pulkit Tandon

We study statistical/computational tradeoffs for the following density estimation problem: given $k$ distributions $v_1, \ldots, v_k$ over a discrete domain of size $n$, and sampling access to a distribution $p$, identify $v_i$ that is…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Anders Aamand , Alexandr Andoni , Justin Y. Chen , Piotr Indyk , Shyam Narayanan , Sandeep Silwal

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

This paper introduces an approach to reference class selection in distributional forecasting with an application to corporate sales growth rates using several co-variates as reference variables, that are implicit predictors. The method can…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-07 Etienne Theising

We consider the problem of sampling from a probability distribution $\pi$. It is well known that this can be written as an optimisation problem over the space of probability distribution in which we aim to minimise the Kullback--Leibler…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Francesca R. Crucinio , Sahani Pathiraja

Let $\theta_0,\theta_1 \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be the population risk minimizers associated to some loss $\ell:\mathbb{R}^d\times \mathcal{Z}\to\mathbb{R}$ and two distributions $\mathbb{P}_0,\mathbb{P}_1$ on $\mathcal{Z}$. The models…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-13 Dmitrii M. Ostrovskii , Mohamed Ndaoud , Adel Javanmard , Meisam Razaviyayn

We consider the problem of linear regression with self-selection bias in the unknown-index setting, as introduced in recent work by Cherapanamjeri, Daskalakis, Ilyas, and Zampetakis [STOC 2023]. In this model, one observes $m$ i.i.d.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-23 Jason Gaitonde , Elchanan Mossel

The blessing of ubiquitous data also comes with a curse: the communication, storage, and labeling of massive, mostly redundant datasets. We seek to solve this problem at its core, collecting only valuable data and throwing out the rest via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Mariel Werner , Anastasios Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Michael I. Jordan

Collecting the most informative data from a large dataset distributed over a network is a fundamental problem in many fields, including control, signal processing and machine learning. In this paper, we establish a connection between…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-05 Xu Zhang , Marcos M. Vasconcelos

We consider the problem of approximating an unknown function $u\in L^2(D,\rho)$ from its evaluations at given sampling points $x^1,\dots,x^n\in D$, where $D\subset \mathbb{R}^d$ is a general domain and $\rho$ is a probability measure. The…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-05-29 Benjamin Arras , Markus Bachmayr , Albert Cohen

We study the problem of answering a workload of linear queries $\mathcal{Q}$, on a database of size at most $n = o(|\mathcal{Q}|)$ drawn from a universe $\mathcal{U}$ under the constraint of (approximate) differential privacy. Nikolov,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-05-04 Aleksandar Nikolov

In the field of decision trees, most previous studies have difficulty ensuring the statistical optimality of a prediction of new data and suffer from overfitting because trees are usually used only to represent prediction functions to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Naoki Ichijo , Koki Kazama , Toshiyasu Matsushima

This paper studies the problem of {\em learning} the probability distribution $P_X$ of a discrete random variable $X$ using indirect and sequential samples. At each time step, we choose one of the possible $K$ functions, $g_1, \ldots, g_K$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-17 Samarth Gupta , Gauri Joshi , Osman Yağan