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The rise of ChatGPT has brought a notable shift to the AI sector, with its exceptional conversational skills and deep grasp of language. Recognizing its value across different areas, our study investigates ChatGPT's capacity to predict…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-14 Ummara Mumtaz , Summaya Mumtaz

We document the capability of large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT to predict stock market reactions from news headlines without direct financial training. Using post-knowledge-cutoff headlines, GPT-4 captures initial market responses,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-30 Alejandro Lopez-Lira , Yuehua Tang

This paper introduces a new risk-on risk-off strategy for the stock market, which combines a financial stress indicator with a sentiment analysis done by ChatGPT reading and interpreting Bloomberg daily market summaries. Forecasts of market…

We create a firm-level ChatGPT investment score, based on conference calls, that measures managers' anticipated changes in capital expenditures. We validate the score with interpretable textual content and its strong correlation with CFO…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-04 Manish Jha , Jialin Qian , Michael Weber , Baozhong Yang

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

We study whether ChatGPT and DeepSeek can extract information from the Wall Street Journal to predict the stock market and the macroeconomy. We find that ChatGPT has predictive power. DeepSeek underperforms ChatGPT, which is trained more…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-17 Jian Chen , Guohao Tang , Guofu Zhou , Wu Zhu

The surge of retail investor activity on social media, exemplified by the 2021 GameStop short squeeze, raised questions about the influence of online sentiment on stock prices. This paper explores whether sentiment derived from social media…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Mateusz Kmak , Kamil Chmurzyński , Kamil Matejuk , Paweł Kotzbach , Jan Kocoń

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

Financial sentiment analysis plays a crucial role in decoding market trends and guiding strategic trading decisions. Despite the deployment of advanced deep learning techniques and language models to refine sentiment analysis in finance,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Georgios Fatouros , John Soldatos , Kalliopi Kouroumali , Georgios Makridis , Dimosthenis Kyriazis

This paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can improve cross-sectional momentum strategies by extracting predictive signals from firm-specific news. We combine daily U.S. equity returns for S&P 500 constituents with…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-31 Nikolas Anic , Andrea Barbon , Ralf Seiz , Carlo Zarattini

Recently, ChatGPT has drawn great attention from both the research community and the public. We are particularly interested in whether it can serve as a universal sentiment analyzer. To this end, in this work, we provide a preliminary…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Zengzhi Wang , Qiming Xie , Yi Feng , Zixiang Ding , Zinong Yang , Rui Xia

Some research now suggests that ChatGPT can estimate the quality of journal articles from their titles and abstracts. This has created the possibility to use ChatGPT quality scores, perhaps alongside citation-based formulae, to support peer…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2024-11-18 Mike Thelwall , Zeyneb Kurt

The exponential growth in user acquisition and popularity of OpenAIs ChatGPT, an artificial intelligence(AI) powered chatbot, was accompanied by widespread mainstream media coverage. This article presents a quantitative data analysis of the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-08-07 Maya Karanouh

This paper investigates the potential improvement of the GPT-4 Language Learning Model (LLM) in comparison to BERT for modeling same-day daily stock price movements of Apple and Tesla in 2017, based on sentiment analysis of microblogging…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-01 Rick Steinert , Saskia Altmann

We investigate the efficacy of large language models (LLMs) in sentiment analysis of U.S. financial news and their potential in predicting stock market returns. We analyze a dataset comprising 965,375 news articles that span from January 1,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-30 Kemal Kirtac , Guido Germano

Scientific articles play a crucial role in advancing knowledge and informing research directions. One key aspect of evaluating scientific articles is the analysis of citations, which provides insights into the impact and reception of the…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2026-03-09 Walid Hariri

The Web is a vast virtual space where people can share their opinions, impacting all aspects of life and having implications for marketing and communication. The most up-to-date and comprehensive information can be found on social media…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-15 Melvin Mokhtari , Ali Seraj , Niloufar Saeedi , Adel Karshenas

This article applies natural language processing (NLP) to extract and quantify textual information to predict stock performance. Using an extensive dataset of Chinese analyst reports and employing a customized BERT deep learning model for…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-19 Rui Liu , Jiayou Liang , Haolong Chen , Yujia Hu

Recently, large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT have demonstrated remarkable performance across a variety of natural language processing tasks. However, their effectiveness in the financial domain, specifically in predicting stock…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-01 Qianqian Xie , Weiguang Han , Yanzhao Lai , Min Peng , Jimin Huang

Stock market forecasting is very important in the planning of business activities. Stock price prediction has attracted many researchers in multiple disciplines including computer science, statistics, economics, finance, and operations…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-07-23 Dev Shah , Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine
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