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We consider a multi-step algorithm for the computation of the historical expected shortfall such as defined by the Basel Minimum Capital Requirements for Market Risk. At each step of the algorithm, we use Monte Carlo simulations to reduce…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-27 Bruno Bouchard , Adil Reghai , Benjamin Virrion

Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a widely used iterative algorithm for computing maximum likelihood estimate when dealing with Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). When the sample size is smaller than the data dimension, this could lead…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-06 Pierre Houdouin , Matthieu Jonkcheere , Frederic Pascal

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

Maximum Likelihood (ML) algorithms, for the joint estimation of synchronization impairments and channel in Multiple Input Multiple Output-Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (MIMO-OFDM) system, are investigated in this work. A system…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-10-30 Renu Jose , K. V. S. Hari

We present a computational motivation for restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation in linear mixed models using an expectation--maximization (EM) algorithm. At each iteration, maximum likelihood (ML) and REML solve the same…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Andrew T. Karl

We study the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for general latent-variable models under (i) distributional misspecification and (ii) nonidentifiability induced by a group action. We formulate EM on the quotient parameter space and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Koustav Mallik

Random sampling of graph partitions under constraints has become a popular tool for evaluating legislative redistricting plans. Analysts detect partisan gerrymandering by comparing a proposed redistricting plan with an ensemble of sampled…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-09 Cory McCartan , Kosuke Imai

Linear birth-and-death processes (LBDPs) are foundational stochastic models in population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and hematopoiesis. Estimating parameters from discretely observed data is computationally demanding due to irregular…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Xiaochen Long , Marek Kimmel

We study the Maximum Cardinality Matching (MCM) and the Maximum Weight Matching (MWM) problems, on trees and on some special classes of graphs, in the Online Preemptive and the Incremental Dynamic Graph models. In the {\em Online…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-01-23 Sumedh Tirodkar , Sundar Vishwanathan

The expectation maximization (EM) algorithm is a widespread method for empirical Bayesian inference, but its expectation step (E-step) is often intractable. Employing a stochastic approximation scheme with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-29 Samuel Gruffaz , Kyurae Kim , Alain Oliviero Durmus , Jacob R. Gardner

A line of recent work has analyzed the behavior of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm in the well-specified setting, in which the population likelihood is locally strongly concave around its maximizing argument. Examples include…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-30 Raaz Dwivedi , Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Michael I. Jordan , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

In a regular full exponential family, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) need not exist in the traditional sense. However, the MLE may exist in the completion of the exponential family. Existing algorithms for finding the MLE in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-30 Daniel J. Eck , Charles J. Geyer

Many problems in machine learning and statistics involve nested expectations and thus do not permit conventional Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. For such problems, one must nest estimators, such that terms in an outer estimator themselves…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-24 Tom Rainforth , Robert Cornish , Hongseok Yang , Andrew Warrington , Frank Wood

This paper considers the problem of networks reconstruction from heterogeneous data using a Gaussian Graphical Mixture Model (GGMM). It is well known that parameter estimation in this context is challenging due to large numbers of variables…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-10-08 Anani Lotsi , Ernst Wit

Bayesian optimal experimental design provides a principled framework for selecting experimental settings that maximize obtained information. In this work, we focus on estimating the expected information gain in the setting where the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Chuntao Chen , Tapio Helin , Nuutti Hyvönen , Yuya Suzuki

Detection of induced polarisation (IP) effects in airborne electromagnetic (AEM) measurements does not yet have an established methodology. This contribution develops a Bayesian approach to the IP-detectability problem using decoupled…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-03 Laurence Davies , Alan Yusen Ley-Cooper , Matthew Sutton , Christopher Drovandi

We consider Monte Carlo approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants. This paper deals with adaptive Monte Carlo algorithms, which adjust control parameters in the course of simulation. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

This paper studies the problem of parameter learning in probabilistic graphical models having latent variables, where the standard approach is the expectation maximization algorithm alternating expectation (E) and maximization (M) steps.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-15 Hyeryung Jang , Hyungwon Choi , Yung Yi , Jinwoo Shin

The EM algorithm is a popular tool for maximum likelihood estimation but has not been used much for high-dimensional regularization problems in linear mixed-effects models. In this paper, we introduce the EMLMLasso algorithm, which combines…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-04 Daniela C. R. Oliveira , Fernanda L. Schumacher , Victor H. Lachos

We present an original simulation-based method to estimate likelihood ratios efficiently for general state-space models. Our method relies on a novel use of the conditional Sequential Monte Carlo (cSMC) algorithm introduced in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-10 Sinan Yıldırım , Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet