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Discovering the underlying relationships among variables from temporal observations has been a longstanding challenge in numerous scientific disciplines, including biology, finance, and climate science. The dynamics of such systems are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Benjie Wang , Joel Jennings , Wenbo Gong

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDE) have been trained as both Variational Autoencoders, and as GANs. However, the resulting Stochastic Differential Equations can be hard to interpret or analyse due to the generic nature of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-18 Simon M. Koop , Mark A. Peletier , Jacobus W. Portegies , Vlado Menkovski

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are well suited to modelling noisy and irregularly sampled time series found in finance, physics, and machine learning. Traditional approaches require costly numerical solvers to sample between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Naoki Kiyohara , Edward Johns , Yingzhen Li

Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs) require flexible probability models that can be efficiently learned and sampled. Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) are generative neural networks which can be trained to implicitly model the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-08-09 Malte Probst

We investigate neural ordinary and stochastic differential equations (neural ODEs and SDEs) to model stochastic dynamics in fully and partially observed environments within a model-based reinforcement learning (RL) framework. Through a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Chao Han , Stefanos Ioannou , Luca Manneschi , T. J. Hayward , Michael Mangan , Aditya Gilra , Eleni Vasilaki

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Generative adversarial network (GAN) has been shown to be useful in various applications, such as image recognition, text processing and scientific computing, due its strong ability to learn complex data distributions. In this study, a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-09-14 Tianhao He , Dongxiao Zhang

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-09 James Rice

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

Stochastic discriminative EM (sdEM) is an online-EM-type algorithm for discriminative training of probabilistic generative models belonging to the exponential family. In this work, we introduce and justify this algorithm as a stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-05 Andres R. Masegosa

Learning continuous-time stochastic dynamics is a fundamental and essential problem in modeling sporadic time series, whose observations are irregular and sparse in both time and dimension. For a given system whose latent states and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Yingru Liu , Yucheng Xing , Xuewen Yang , Xin Wang , Jing Shi , Di Jin , Zhaoyue Chen

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Non-uniform sampling arises when an experimenter does not have full control over the sampling characteristics of the process under investigation. Moreover, it is introduced intentionally in algorithms such as Bayesian optimization and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Stijn de Waele

We present a framework and algorithms to learn controlled dynamics models using neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) -- SDEs whose drift and diffusion terms are both parametrized by neural networks. We construct the drift term to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Franck Djeumou , Cyrus Neary , Ufuk Topcu

Understanding the training dynamics of deep learning models is perhaps a necessary step toward demystifying the effectiveness of these models. In particular, how do data from different classes gradually become separable in their feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-13 Jiayao Zhang , Hua Wang , Weijie J. Su

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown immense potential in fields such as text and image generation. Only very recently attempts to exploit GANs to statistical-mechanics models have been reported. Here we quantitatively test…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-05-07 Daniele Lanzoni , Olivier Pierre-Louis , Francesco Montalenti

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

The Latent Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) is a powerful tool for time series and sequence modeling. However, training Latent SDEs typically relies on adjoint sensitivity methods, which depend on simulation and backpropagation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Grigory Bartosh , Dmitry Vetrov , Christian A. Naesseth

Stock price forecasting is a highly complex and vitally important field of research. Recent advancements in deep neural network technology allow researchers to develop highly accurate models to predict financial trends. We propose a novel…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-03 Pratyush Muthukumar , Jie Zhong

One of the most significant challenges in statistical signal processing and machine learning is how to obtain a generative model that can produce samples of large-scale data distribution, such as images and speeches. Generative Adversarial…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-28 Pegah Salehi , Abdolah Chalechale , Maryam Taghizadeh